Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lubbock
Tract 48303000408 ·
Lubbock, TX · pop 3,858 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 48303000408 sits in the Shadow Hills area of Lubbock eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%Stable renters 21%Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,197
Renter share55.7%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate34.3%
Median income$49,848
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Shadow Hills
Very High
Within parent city
93th percentile
#8 of 94 tracts In Lubbock
Very High
Within county
78th percentile
#24 of 106 tracts In Lubbock
High
Within state
75th percentile
#1,731 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lubbock and the region
Centroid at 33.5869, -101.9421 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Hills scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lubbock
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
34.3% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,078 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lubbock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lubbock
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lubbock
2.0
How Shadow Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
54%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shadow Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Lubbock County average of 45.8%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, economic stress reads 8.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against the Lubbock County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.6% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,078 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Lubbock commands.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $49,848. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48303000408
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48303000408?
Census tract 48303000408 in the Shadow Hills neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48303000408?
Median gross rent is $1,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48303000408?
34.3% of residents in tract 48303000408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,858.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48303000408?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 18th, minority 77th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 48303000408 considered part of Shadow Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48303000408 fall within Shadow Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 48303000408 compare to Lubbock overall?
Tract 48303000408 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lubbock at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lubbock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lubbock
Top eight tracts in Lubbock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.