Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Fort Worth Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48439123200 · Tarrant, TX · pop 3,255 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 48439123200 covers part of the Downtown Fort Worth area of Fort Worth, TX, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,255 residents. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,065
Renter share88.6%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$63,340
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Worth and the region
Centroid at 32.7708, -97.3286 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Fort Worth scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Worth
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,653 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Worth
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Worth
2.5
How Downtown Fort Worth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 8%Grade C
- 21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 245Total filings over 17 yrs
- 3.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2001)
- 20Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 17 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 730Total filings 2020-21
- 9.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.43×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Fort Worth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Fort Worth
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 245 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,653, 10% above the Fort Worth average.
Filings peaked in 2001 at 7.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48439123200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48439123200?
Census tract 48439123200 in the Downtown Fort Worth neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48439123200?
Median gross rent is $1,653/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48439123200?
11.5% of residents in tract 48439123200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,255.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48439123200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 16th, minority 70th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 48439123200 considered part of Downtown Fort Worth?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48439123200 fall within Downtown Fort Worth (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48439123200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 245 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 48439123200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.24% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48439123200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.43× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48439123200 compare to Fort Worth overall?
Tract 48439123200 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Worth at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Worth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48439123200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Worth
Top eight tracts in Fort Worth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48439103702
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48439106201
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48439104604
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48439106522
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48439103800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48439106202
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48439104605
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48439106300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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