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Neighborhood · Mansfield, TX

Twin Creeks Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 9,182 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.7–5

Twin Creeks spans 2 census tracts of Mansfield, TX and houses 9,182 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Mansfield baseline of 32.6%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.2/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. Court records carry 1,850 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 94.3% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,738, 11% below the Mansfield average of $1,954.

The most recent observed rate, 7.9% in 2017, is well off that peak. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.3 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $66,277.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Twin Creeks vs Mansfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.8% +68%
Mansfield: 32.6%
Average gross rent
$1,738 -11%
Mansfield: $1,954
Average HH income
$66,277 -43%
Mansfield: $116,590
Poverty rate
16.2% +155%
Mansfield: 6.4%
Renter share
54.1% +90%
Mansfield: 28.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Twin Creeks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.7–5

Why Twin Creeks scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
16.2% below poverty line · Range 3.7–4.2 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.5–5.6 across tracts
5.2
Risk score comparison

Twin Creeks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Twin Creeks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Twin CreeksNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Twin Creeks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48439111306 5 6,052 53% $1,803
48439111307 4.7 3,130 58% $1,612
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 54%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Twin Creeks

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,850Total filings (sum)
  • 17.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 94.3%Peak year (2011)
  • 7.30%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,064Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.1Avg monthly observed
  • 5.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.60×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth, TX).

Frequently asked

About Twin Creeks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Twin Creeks?

Twin Creeks scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Twin Creeks compare to Mansfield overall?

Twin Creeks scores 1.1 points higher than Mansfield overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,738 vs $1,954.
Q3

What is the average rent in Twin Creeks?

Average gross rent in Twin Creeks is $1,738/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Twin Creeks residents are renters?

54% of Twin Creeks households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Mansfield). The neighborhood has 9,182 residents.
Q5

Is Twin Creeks a high social-vulnerability area?

Twin Creeks sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Twin Creeks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Twin Creeks is census tract 48439111306 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Twin Creeks for landlords?

Twin Creeks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mansfield as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Twin Creeks?

Twin Creeks has 9,744 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (41.3%), Hispanic / Latino (29.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Twin Creeks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mansfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Twin Creeks.

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