Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Nalder Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Layton
Tract 49011125907 ·
Davis, UT · pop 2,705 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 49011125907 in the Nalder Heights area of Layton, UT reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,705. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 7%Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units892
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$115,517
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Nalder Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
46th percentile
#7 of 12 tracts In Layton
Moderate
Within county
62th percentile
#26 of 66 tracts In Davis
Elevated
Within state
58th percentile
#300 of 716 tracts In Utah
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Layton and the region
Centroid at 41.0843, -111.9431 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nalder Heights scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Layton
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,212 rent vs county FMR
9.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Layton
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Layton
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Layton
4.9
How Nalder Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
28%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
30%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
24Total filings over 7 yrs
2.88%Avg annual filing rate
2.8%Peak (2018)
6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2006 to 2018
Filings climbed 500% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.1%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
8.2%Food insecurity
4.3%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nalder Heights
At $2,212 a month, rents run 44% over what the rest of Layton commands. The voucher gap is 44.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.4/10. Cost burden runs 48% here against 38.9% across Davis County. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 24 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2018, when 2.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 49011125907
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49011125907?
Census tract 49011125907 in the Nalder Heights neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 49011125907?
Median gross rent is $2,212/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 49011125907?
9.0% of residents in tract 49011125907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,705.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 49011125907?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 66th, minority 30th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 49011125907 considered part of Nalder Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 49011125907 fall within Nalder Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 49011125907?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 49011125907 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.88% of renter households, peaking at 2.8% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 49011125907 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 49011125907 compare to Layton overall?
Tract 49011125907 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Layton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Layton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Layton
Top eight tracts in Layton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.