Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Syracuse Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 49011125411 · Davis, UT · pop 7,002 · 69% of tract blocks fall in Syracuse
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 49011125411 (Syracuse, Utah) comes in at 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
93% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,180 a month against an average household income of $122,727 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,190
Renter share13.3%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$122,727
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
National
14
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Syracuse and the region
Centroid at 40.9581, -112.2134 · click any tract to drill in
Why Syracuse scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Syracuse
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$2,180 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Syracuse
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Syracuse
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Syracuse
5.2
How Syracuse compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Syracuse
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Syracuse eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Davis County average of 4.0 and above the Utah statewide average of 4.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 49011125411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49011125411?
Census tract 49011125411 in Syracuse scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 49011125411?
Median gross rent is $2,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 93% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 49011125411?
13.6% of residents in tract 49011125411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,002.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 49011125411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 12th, minority 9th, housing 25th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 49011125411 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 49011125411 compare to Syracuse overall?
Tract 49011125411 scores 2.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Syracuse at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Syracuse eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Syracuse
Top eight tracts in Syracuse ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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