Syracuse Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 42.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.2/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10. 14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Davis County average of 3.6 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.