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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Syracuse Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 49011125409 · Davis, UT · pop 5,352

Census tract 49011125409 covers part of Syracuse, UT, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,352 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 10% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,614
Renter share18.5%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$126,324

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Syracuse
Elevated
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 66 tracts In Davis
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#425 of 716 tracts In Utah
Moderate
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Syracuse and the region

Centroid at 41.0845, -112.0592 · click any tract to drill in

Why Syracuse scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Syracuse
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Utah legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,893 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Syracuse
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Syracuse
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Syracuse
5.2

How Syracuse compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Syracuse risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 1254093.2Syracuseparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Syracuse

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. The voucher gap is 23.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Cost burden runs 46% here against 38.9% across Davis County. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,893, 12% below the Syracuse average. Against the Davis County average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $126,324, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 49011125409

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49011125409?

Census tract 49011125409 in Syracuse scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 49011125409?

Median gross rent is $1,893/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 49011125409?

2.8% of residents in tract 49011125409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,352.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 49011125409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 7th, minority 23th, housing 16th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 49011125409 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 49011125409 compare to Syracuse overall?

Tract 49011125409 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Syracuse at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Syracuse eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Syracuse

Top eight tracts in Syracuse ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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