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Neighborhood · Burlington, VT

Birchcliff Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 2,430 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 6.7–6.7

Birchcliff maps to a single census tract in Burlington, VT and houses 2,430 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.7/10, in the Elevated tier. 24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 2.7/10.

Against a Burlington baseline of 32.7%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Burlington, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Van Patten and Lakewood. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Average gross rent runs $1,603, close to the Burlington average. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 6.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Birchcliff vs Burlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.3% +14%
Burlington: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$1,603 -3%
Burlington: $1,649
Average HH income
$102,679 +49%
Burlington: $68,854
Poverty rate
10.7% -53%
Burlington: 23.0%
Renter share
35.5% -39%
Burlington: 58.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Birchcliff and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.7–6.7

Why Birchcliff scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
10.7% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Birchcliff vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Birchcliff score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.7BirchcliffNeighborhood6.9Parent cityhost city5.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Birchcliff

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
50007000800 6.7 2,430 37% $1,603
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 7

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 13%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 1%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 40%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Birchcliff

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Birchcliff?

Birchcliff scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Birchcliff compare to Burlington overall?

Birchcliff scores 0.2 points lower than Burlington overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,603 vs $1,649.
Q3

What is the average rent in Birchcliff?

Average gross rent in Birchcliff is $1,603/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Birchcliff residents are renters?

36% of Birchcliff households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Burlington). The neighborhood has 2,430 residents.
Q5

Is Birchcliff a high social-vulnerability area?

Birchcliff sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Birchcliff for landlords?

Birchcliff carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burlington as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Birchcliff?

Birchcliff has 2,440 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (97.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (0.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Birchcliff

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Birchcliff.

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