Neighborhood · Burlington, VT

Birchcliff Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,430 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Birchcliff is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Burlington with 1 census tract and a population of 2,430 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 37% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,603/month sits 3% lower than the Burlington citywide average ($1,649).

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Birchcliff vs Burlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

37.3% +14%

Burlington: 32.7%

Average gross rent

$1,603 -3%

Burlington: $1,649

Average HH income

$102,679 +49%

Burlington: $68,854

Poverty rate

10.7% -53%

Burlington: 23.0%

Renter share

35.5% -39%

Burlington: 58.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Birchcliff and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Birchcliff scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts

7.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

37% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

36% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

10.7% below poverty line · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

Birchcliff vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Birchcliff

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
50007000800	4.5	2,430	37%	$1,603

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 7

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 13%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 3%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 1%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 40%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Birchcliff

What is the eviction-risk score for Birchcliff?

Birchcliff scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Birchcliff compare to Burlington overall?

Birchcliff scores 1.6 points lower than Burlington overall (6.1/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,603 vs $1,649.

What is the average rent in Birchcliff?

Average gross rent in Birchcliff is $1,603/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Birchcliff residents are renters?

36% of Birchcliff households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Burlington). The neighborhood has 2,430 residents.

Is Birchcliff a high social-vulnerability area?

Birchcliff sits in the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Birchcliff for landlords?

Birchcliff carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burlington as a whole (6.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Birchcliff?

Birchcliff has 2,440 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (97.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (0.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Birchcliff

6.6 South Hill Section 2 tracts · pop 10,419 6.6 Downtown 3 tracts · pop 9,564 5.6 Riverside 4 tracts · pop 12,907

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Birchcliff.

4.4 Van Patten 1 tracts · pop 4,508 4.4 Lakewood 1 tracts · pop 5,749 4 The Addition 1 tracts · pop 2,206 6.3 North Hill Section 1 tracts · pop 4,985 6.6 Downtown 3 tracts · pop 9,564 6.9 South Hill Section 2 tracts · pop 10,419

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