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Neighborhood · Burlington, VT

South Hill Section Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 10,419 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.3/10 · range 8.3–8.3

South Hill Section takes in 2 census tracts of Burlington, VT, population 10,419. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.3/10, High tier. 57% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs 71% against 32.7% citywide, putting South Hill Section 38.6% over its own city. The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Set annual rent against average household income of $44,590 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 8.8/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.6/10.

At $1,467 a month, rents sit 11% under what the rest of Burlington commands. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Burlington, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are North Hill Section and Downtown. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 8.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.3
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Hill Section vs Burlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
71.3% +118%
Burlington: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$1,467 -11%
Burlington: $1,649
Average HH income
$44,590 -35%
Burlington: $68,854
Poverty rate
43.1% +87%
Burlington: 23.0%
Renter share
68.7% +17%
Burlington: 58.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Hill Section and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 8.3–8.3

Why South Hill Section scores 8.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
71% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
69% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
43.1% below poverty line · Range 5.5–10.0 across tracts
8.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.7 across tracts
2.6
Risk score comparison

South Hill Section vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Hill Section score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.3South Hill SectionNeighborhood6.9Parent cityhost city5.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in South Hill Section

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
50007003900 8.3 7,705 78% $1,490
50007000900 8.3 2,714 53% $1,401
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 58%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 20%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About South Hill Section

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Hill Section?

South Hill Section scores 8.3/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Hill Section compare to Burlington overall?

South Hill Section scores 1.4 points higher than Burlington overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 71% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,467 vs $1,649.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Hill Section?

Average gross rent in South Hill Section is $1,467/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Hill Section residents are renters?

69% of South Hill Section households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Burlington). The neighborhood has 10,419 residents.
Q5

Is South Hill Section a high social-vulnerability area?

South Hill Section sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Hill Section have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Hill Section is census tract 50007003900 (score 8.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.3 to 8.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is South Hill Section for landlords?

South Hill Section carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burlington as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Hill Section?

South Hill Section has 10,742 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.4%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Hill Section

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Hill Section.

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