3 census tracts · pop 9,564 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.3/10
· range 8.3–8.3
Downtown takes in 3 census tracts of Burlington, VT and houses 9,564 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.3/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 58% against 32.7% citywide, putting Downtown 25.6% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 34%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. This is a renter market: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 7.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10.
That places it #1 of 7 neighborhoods in Burlington. For a like-for-like read, North Hill Section and South Hill Section score within a fraction of it.
Its 3 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $1,580, close to the Burlington average.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.3
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs BurlingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority25%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Downtown
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?
Downtown scores 8.3/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Downtown compare to Burlington overall?
Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Burlington overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,580 vs $1,649.
Q3
What is the average rent in Downtown?
Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,580/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?
87% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Burlington). The neighborhood has 9,564 residents.
Q5
Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?
Downtown sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Downtown have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown is census tract 50007004200 (score 8.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.3 to 8.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Downtown for landlords?
Downtown carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burlington as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?
Downtown has 9,205 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.2%), Hispanic / Latino (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
