1 census tracts · pop 4,508 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10
· range 6.6–6.6
Van Patten is a one-tract neighborhood of Burlington, VT and houses 4,508 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.6/10, in the Elevated tier. 48% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Burlington rate of 32.7%.
29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2.3/10.
Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. At $1,442 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Burlington commands.
That places it #5 of 7 neighborhoods in Burlington. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
For a like-for-like read, Lakewood and Birchcliff score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Van Patten vs BurlingtonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority30%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked
About Van Patten
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Van Patten?
Van Patten scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Van Patten compare to Burlington overall?
Van Patten scores 0.3 points lower than Burlington overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,442 vs $1,649.
Q3
What is the average rent in Van Patten?
Average gross rent in Van Patten is $1,442/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Van Patten residents are renters?
21% of Van Patten households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Burlington). The neighborhood has 4,508 residents.
Q5
Is Van Patten a high social-vulnerability area?
Van Patten sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Van Patten for landlords?
Van Patten carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burlington as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Van Patten?
Van Patten has 4,561 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.7%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
