Neighborhood · Burlington, VT

Van Patten Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,508 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Van Patten is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Burlington with 1 census tract and a population of 4,508 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,442/month sits 13% lower than the Burlington citywide average ($1,649).

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Van Patten vs Burlington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.3% +48%

Burlington: 32.7%

Average gross rent

$1,442 -13%

Burlington: $1,649

Average HH income

$100,858 +46%

Burlington: $68,854

Poverty rate

9.3% -60%

Burlington: 23.0%

Renter share

21.0% -64%

Burlington: 58.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Van Patten and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Van Patten scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts

7.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

48% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

21% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

9.3% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts

2.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Risk score comparison

Van Patten vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Van Patten

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
50007000100	4.4	4,508	48%	$1,442

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 70%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 30%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 85%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Frequently asked

About Van Patten

What is the eviction-risk score for Van Patten?

Van Patten scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Van Patten compare to Burlington overall?

Van Patten scores 1.7 points lower than Burlington overall (6.1/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,442 vs $1,649.

What is the average rent in Van Patten?

Average gross rent in Van Patten is $1,442/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Van Patten residents are renters?

21% of Van Patten households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Burlington). The neighborhood has 4,508 residents.

Is Van Patten a high social-vulnerability area?

Van Patten sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Van Patten for landlords?

Van Patten carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burlington as a whole (6.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Van Patten?

Van Patten has 4,561 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (81.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (8.7%), Other / Multiracial (5.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Van Patten

6.6 Downtown 3 tracts · pop 9,564 5.6 Riverside 4 tracts · pop 12,907 6.6 South Hill Section 2 tracts · pop 10,419

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burlington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Van Patten.

4.4 Lakewood 1 tracts · pop 5,749 4.5 Birchcliff 1 tracts · pop 2,430 4 The Addition 1 tracts · pop 2,206 6.3 North Hill Section 1 tracts · pop 4,985 6.6 Downtown 3 tracts · pop 9,564 6.9 South Hill Section 2 tracts · pop 10,419

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