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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Van Patten Eviction Risk: Elevated , Burlington

Tract 50007000100 · Chittenden County, VT · pop 4,508 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 6.6/10, tract 50007000100 in the Van Patten area of Burlington, VT reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 11% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,947
Renter share21.0%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$100,858

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Van Patten
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Burlington
Low
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 41 tracts In Chittenden County
Elevated
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 193 tracts In Vermont
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burlington and the region

Centroid at 44.5187, -73.2541 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Patten scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burlington
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.7
State political climate
Vermont legislature & governorship
4.6
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,442 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
6.5

How Van Patten compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Van Patten risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0001006.9Burlingtonparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Patten

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Chittenden County average of 5.1.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10. At $1,442 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Burlington commands.

That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $100,858, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the VT average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 50007000100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 50007000100?

Census tract 50007000100 in the Van Patten neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 50007000100?

Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 50007000100?

9.3% of residents in tract 50007000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,508.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 50007000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 70th, minority 30th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 50007000100 considered part of Van Patten?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 50007000100 fall within Van Patten (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 50007000100 compare to Burlington overall?

Tract 50007000100 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Burlington at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burlington

Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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