Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Van Patten Eviction Risk: Moderate , Burlington

Tract 50007000100 · Chittenden County, VT · pop 4,508 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.6/10 for census tract 50007000100 reflects conditions in the Van Patten neighborhood of Burlington, Vermont. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,442 a month while the average household earns $100,858 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 11% Owners 79%

Tract context

Occupied units1,947

Renter share21.0%

SVI overall0.66

Poverty rate9.3%

Median income$100,858

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Burlington and the region

Centroid at 44.5187, -73.2541 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Patten scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Burlington

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.7

State political climate

Vermont legislature & governorship

4.6

Economic stress

9.3% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$1,442 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Burlington

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Burlington

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Burlington

6.5

How Van Patten compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
30%Racial/ethnic minority
85%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Patten

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chittenden County average of 5.1 and above the Vermont statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 50007000100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 50007000100?

Census tract 50007000100 in the Van Patten neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 50007000100?

Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 50007000100?

9.3% of residents in tract 50007000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,508.

How socially vulnerable is tract 50007000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 70th, minority 30th, housing 85th.

Is tract 50007000100 considered part of Van Patten?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 50007000100 fall within Van Patten (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 50007000100 compare to Burlington overall?

Tract 50007000100 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Burlington at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burlington

Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.