Neighborhood · Ranked #4,782 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Burlington

Tract 50007004100 · Chittenden County, VT · pop 2,560 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 50007004100 covers the Downtown area of Burlington, home to 2,560 residents. For landlords it grades 6.6/10, an elevated reading. On the national scale it ranks #10,187 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,736 monthly, set against $37,077 in average yearly household income, roughly 56% of income at the averages. Renters make up 94% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 29% Owners 7%

Tract context

Occupied units1,030

Renter share93.6%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate54.6%

Median income$37,077

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Burlington and the region

Centroid at 44.4784, -73.2071 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Burlington

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.7

State political climate

Vermont legislature & governorship

4.6

Economic stress

54.6% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,736 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Burlington

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Burlington

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Burlington

6.5

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
19%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Chittenden County average of 5.1 and above the Vermont statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 50007004100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 50007004100?

Census tract 50007004100 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 50007004100?

Median gross rent is $1,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 50007004100?

54.6% of residents in tract 50007004100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,560.

How socially vulnerable is tract 50007004100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 0th, minority 19th, housing 92th.

Is tract 50007004100 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 50007004100 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 50007004100 compare to Burlington overall?

Tract 50007004100 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Burlington at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burlington

Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.