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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: High , Burlington

Tract 50007004100 · Chittenden County, VT · pop 2,560 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 50007004100 covers part of the Downtown area of Burlington, VT, and scores 8.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,560 residents. Severe burden reaches 53%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 29% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,030
Renter share93.6%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate54.6%
Median income$37,077

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Downtown
Moderate
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Burlington
Elevated
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 41 tracts In Chittenden County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 193 tracts In Vermont
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burlington and the region

Centroid at 44.4784, -73.2071 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burlington
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.7
State political climate
Vermont legislature & governorship
4.6
Economic stress
54.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,736 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
6.5

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.3This tracttract 0041006.9Burlingtonparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

69% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Chittenden County average of 50.9%. Set annual rent against average income of $37,077 and the ratio lands at 56%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Against the Chittenden County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 3.2 points.

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 55%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.7/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 92nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10.

Statewide the VT average is 4.6, so this tract runs 3.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 50007004100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 50007004100?

Census tract 50007004100 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 50007004100?

Median gross rent is $1,736/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 50007004100?

54.6% of residents in tract 50007004100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,560.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 50007004100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 0th, minority 19th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 50007004100 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 50007004100 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 50007004100 compare to Burlington overall?

Tract 50007004100 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Burlington at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burlington

Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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