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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Burlington

Tract 50007001000 · Chittenden County, VT · pop 2,659 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 50007001000, home to 2,659 residents in the Downtown neighborhood of Burlington, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,400 a month against an average household income of $58,390 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 41% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,532
Renter share76.8%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate19.0%
Median income$58,390

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 11 tracts In Burlington
Moderate
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 41 tracts In Chittenden County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 193 tracts In Vermont
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burlington and the region

Centroid at 44.4716, -73.2196 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burlington
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.7
State political climate
Vermont legislature & governorship
4.6
Economic stress
19.0% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,400 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burlington
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burlington
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burlington
6.5

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 001000Burlington: 6.16.1Burlingtonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chittenden County average of 5.1 and above the Vermont statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 50007001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 50007001000?

Census tract 50007001000 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 50007001000?

Median gross rent is $1,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 50007001000?

19.0% of residents in tract 50007001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,659.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 50007001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 3th, minority 20th, housing 91th.
Q5

Is tract 50007001000 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 50007001000 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 50007001000 compare to Burlington overall?

Tract 50007001000 scores 5.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Burlington at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burlington

Top eight tracts in Burlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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