Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Addison Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington
Tract 51013103602 · Arlington County, VA · pop 1,391 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
51013103602 is a census tract in the Addison Heights area of Arlington, VA. It scores 7/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,391 residents. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 60%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units760
Renter share99.2%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$117,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8541, -77.0538 · click any tract to drill in
Why Addison Heights scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$2,370 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0
How Addison Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Addison Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 18.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Addison Heights
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.1 points above the Arlington County average of 5.9. SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 6 evictions over 1 years of observation. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 0.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51013103602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103602?
Census tract 51013103602 in the Addison Heights neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51013103602?
Median gross rent is $2,370/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103602?
17.5% of residents in tract 51013103602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,391.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 4th, minority 76th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 51013103602 considered part of Addison Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013103602 fall within Addison Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013103602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51013103602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.89% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51013103602 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51013103602 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 51013103602 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Buckingham
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Arlington Mill
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
North Highland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Douglas Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Lyon Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Virginia Highlands
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Arlington View
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Related