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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally

Virginia Highlands Eviction Risk: Elevated , Arlington

Tract 51013103505 · Arlington County, VA · pop 3,335 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51013103505 covers part of the Virginia Highlands area of Arlington, VA, and scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 90% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 49% Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,083
Renter share89.6%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$100,355

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Virginia Highlands
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 71 tracts In Arlington
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 71 tracts In Arlington County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 38.8614, -77.0598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Virginia Highlands scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$2,374 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
6.0

How Virginia Highlands compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Virginia Highlands risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.47.4This tracttract 103505Arlington: 6.06.0Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.95.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Virginia Highlands. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Virginia Highlands

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Arlington County average of 5.9.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Arlington County at 38.9%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51013103505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013103505?

Census tract 51013103505 in the Virginia Highlands neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51013103505?

Median gross rent is $2,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51013103505?

20.4% of residents in tract 51013103505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,335.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51013103505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 20th, minority 73th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 51013103505 considered part of Virginia Highlands?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51013103505 fall within Virginia Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51013103505 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51013103505 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 51013103505 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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