Arlington Mill Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 51013102200 · Arlington County, VA · pop 8,197 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 7.4/10, tract 51013102200 in the Arlington Mill area of Arlington, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,197. Cost burden runs 57% here against 38.9% across Arlington County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 38.8578, -77.1183 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington Mill scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Arlington Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 194Total filings over 1 yrs
- 8.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2016)
- 194Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.3%Food insecurity
- 17.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 18.1%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Arlington Mill
Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10. At $1,688 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Arlington commands.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Arlington County average of 5.9.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 194 evictions over 1 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 8.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $79,068.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51013102200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51013102200?
What is the average rent in tract 51013102200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51013102200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51013102200?
Is tract 51013102200 considered part of Arlington Mill?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51013102200?
What share of households in tract 51013102200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51013102200 compare to Arlington overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.