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Neighborhood · Chesapeake, VA

Magnolia Chase Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,287 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

Magnolia Chase is a one-tract neighborhood of Chesapeake, VA, population 3,287. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Chesapeake baseline of 33.8%, 67% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $63,895 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.1/10.

Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. Average gross rent is $1,706, 8% above the Chesapeake average of $1,586. Among the 48 mapped neighborhoods of Chesapeake, it ranks #12 by risk, the upper third.

63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Magnolia Chase vs Chesapeake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
67.4% +99%
Chesapeake: 33.8%
Average gross rent
$1,706 +8%
Chesapeake: $1,586
Average HH income
$63,895 -32%
Chesapeake: $94,189
Poverty rate
8.2% -6%
Chesapeake: 8.7%
Renter share
62.9% +145%
Chesapeake: 25.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Magnolia Chase and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why Magnolia Chase scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
67% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
8.2% below poverty line · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

Magnolia Chase vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Magnolia Chase score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2Magnolia ChaseNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Magnolia Chase

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51550020911 4.2 3,287 67% $1,706
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Magnolia Chase

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Magnolia Chase

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Magnolia Chase?

Magnolia Chase scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Magnolia Chase compare to Chesapeake overall?

Magnolia Chase scores 0.8 points higher than Chesapeake overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 67% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,706 vs $1,586.
Q3

What is the average rent in Magnolia Chase?

Average gross rent in Magnolia Chase is $1,706/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Magnolia Chase residents are renters?

63% of Magnolia Chase households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Chesapeake). The neighborhood has 3,287 residents.
Q5

Is Magnolia Chase a high social-vulnerability area?

Magnolia Chase sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Magnolia Chase for landlords?

Magnolia Chase carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chesapeake as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Magnolia Chase?

Magnolia Chase has 3,166 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (37.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Magnolia Chase

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chesapeake

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Magnolia Chase.

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