Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Chase Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chesapeake
Tract 51550020911 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 3,287 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51550020911 covers part of the Magnolia Chase area of Chesapeake, VA, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,287. Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 49.2% across Chesapeake City.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,304
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$63,895
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.7567, -76.2563 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Chase scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,706 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Magnolia Chase compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 13.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Chase
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Set annual rent against average income of $63,895 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,706, close to the Chesapeake average. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550020911
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550020911?
Census tract 51550020911 in the Magnolia Chase neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550020911?
Median gross rent is $1,706/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550020911?
8.2% of residents in tract 51550020911 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,287.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550020911?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 53th, minority 68th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 51550020911 considered part of Magnolia Chase?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550020911 fall within Magnolia Chase (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51550020911 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51550020911 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550020911 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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