Skip to content
Neighborhood · Chesapeake, VA

South Fairview Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,071 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.3–4.3

South Fairview is a one-tract neighborhood of Chesapeake, VA and houses 5,071 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, Moderate tier. Against a Chesapeake baseline of 33.8%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Running cool is economic stress, at 1.9/10. At $1,321 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Chesapeake commands.

The filing record is not thin: 4,330 evictions logged in this tract. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.8/10.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 137.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 66.4% in 2016, is well off that peak.

That places it #11 of 48 neighborhoods in Chesapeake. The closest comparables inside the same city are Magnolia Chase and Shorewood. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $58,902.

53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 4.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Fairview vs Chesapeake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.9% +36%
Chesapeake: 33.8%
Average gross rent
$1,321 -17%
Chesapeake: $1,586
Average HH income
$58,902 -37%
Chesapeake: $94,189
Poverty rate
7.8% -10%
Chesapeake: 8.7%
Renter share
53.4% +108%
Chesapeake: 25.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Fairview and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.3–4.3

Why South Fairview scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
7.8% below poverty line · Range 1.9–1.9 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

South Fairview vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Fairview score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.3South FairviewNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Fairview

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51550020002 4.3 5,071 46% $1,321
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 59%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Fairview

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,330Total filings (sum)
  • 101.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 137.3%Peak year (2013)
  • 66.40%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Fairview

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Fairview

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Fairview?

South Fairview scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Fairview compare to Chesapeake overall?

South Fairview scores 0.9 points higher than Chesapeake overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,321 vs $1,586.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Fairview?

Average gross rent in South Fairview is $1,321/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Fairview residents are renters?

53% of South Fairview households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Chesapeake). The neighborhood has 5,071 residents.
Q5

Is South Fairview a high social-vulnerability area?

South Fairview sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Fairview for landlords?

South Fairview carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chesapeake as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Fairview?

South Fairview has 5,095 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (54.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.8%), Hispanic / Latino (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Fairview

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chesapeake

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Fairview.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further