Neighborhood · Chesapeake, VA

Mains Creek Park Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 1,616 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.7–3.7

Mains Creek Park is a black-other neighborhood in Chesapeake with 1 census tract and a population of 1,616 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 77% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 4% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,071/month sits 32% lower than the Chesapeake citywide average ($1,586).

Risk score

3.7

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Mains Creek Park vs Chesapeake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

76.9% +128%

Chesapeake: 33.8%

Average gross rent

$1,071 -32%

Chesapeake: $1,586

Average HH income

$46,563 -51%

Chesapeake: $94,189

Poverty rate

19.6% +126%

Chesapeake: 8.7%

Renter share

59.6% +132%

Chesapeake: 25.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mains Creek Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.7–3.7

Why Mains Creek Park scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

77% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

60% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

19.6% below poverty line · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts

4.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Risk score comparison

Mains Creek Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Mains Creek Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51550020910	3.7	1,616	77%	$1,071

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 50%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 90%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 5%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mains Creek Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

20.9%Housing insecurity
15.5%Utility shutoff threat
24.8%Food insecurity
23.9%SNAP enrollment
9.2%No health insurance
32.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Mains Creek Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Mains Creek Park?

Mains Creek Park scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Mains Creek Park compare to Chesapeake overall?

Mains Creek Park scores 0.1 points higher than Chesapeake overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 77% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,071 vs $1,586.

What is the average rent in Mains Creek Park?

Average gross rent in Mains Creek Park is $1,071/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Mains Creek Park residents are renters?

60% of Mains Creek Park households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Chesapeake). The neighborhood has 1,616 residents.

Is Mains Creek Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Mains Creek Park sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Mains Creek Park for landlords?

Mains Creek Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chesapeake as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Mains Creek Park?

Mains Creek Park has 1,283 residents (Black-Other Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (58.1%), Other / Multiracial (23.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (16.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mains Creek Park

2.5 River Arch Village 2 tracts · pop 5,236 1.7 Bells Mill 2 tracts · pop 10,171 1.2 Pines of Warrick 3 tracts · pop 11,639 2.6 Woodland Terrace 2 tracts · pop 4,547 2.8 West Munden 3 tracts · pop 10,179 2.6 Bayberry Place 3 tracts · pop 8,426

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chesapeake

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mains Creek Park.

3.8 Crystal Lake 1 tracts · pop 3,169 3.2 Norfolk Highlands 1 tracts · pop 5,743 3.2 Westover 1 tracts · pop 3,533 4.2 Parkwood 1 tracts · pop 5,352 3.2 Oak Grove 1 tracts · pop 4,351 3.2 Sandy Pines 1 tracts · pop 2,607

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