1 census tracts · pop 1,616 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10
· range 4.8–4.8
Mains Creek Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Chesapeake, VA and houses 1,616 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 77% against 33.8% citywide, putting Mains Creek Park 43.1% over its own city.
At $1,071 a month, rents sit 32% under what the rest of Chesapeake commands. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.3/10.
Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 15.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
SNAP participation is 23.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 3/10. Among the 48 mapped neighborhoods of Chesapeake, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
For a like-for-like read, Parkwood and Oak Grove score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $46,563.
60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mains Creek Park vs ChesapeakeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority90%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mains Creek Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
20.9%Housing insecurity
15.5%Utility shutoff threat
24.8%Food insecurity
23.9%SNAP enrollment
9.2%No health insurance
32.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Mains Creek Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Mains Creek Park?
Mains Creek Park scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Mains Creek Park compare to Chesapeake overall?
Mains Creek Park scores 1.4 points higher than Chesapeake overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 77% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,071 vs $1,586.
Q3
What is the average rent in Mains Creek Park?
Average gross rent in Mains Creek Park is $1,071/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Mains Creek Park residents are renters?
60% of Mains Creek Park households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Chesapeake). The neighborhood has 1,616 residents.
Q5
Is Mains Creek Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Mains Creek Park sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Mains Creek Park for landlords?
Mains Creek Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chesapeake as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Mains Creek Park?
Mains Creek Park has 1,283 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (58.1%), Other / Multiracial (23.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (16.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
