Neighborhood · Chesapeake, VA

Mill Pond Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 11,816 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.8/10 · range 1.8–1.8

Mill Pond Forest is a diverse neighborhood in Chesapeake with 1 census tract and a population of 11,816 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 37% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,162/month sits 99% higher than the Chesapeake citywide average ($1,586).

Risk score

1.8

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Mill Pond Forest vs Chesapeake How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

55.3% +64%

Chesapeake: 33.8%

Average gross rent

$3,162 +99%

Chesapeake: $1,586

Average HH income

$108,917 +16%

Chesapeake: $94,189

Poverty rate

6.3% -28%

Chesapeake: 8.7%

Renter share

11.3% -56%

Chesapeake: 25.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mill Pond Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.8–1.8

Why Mill Pond Forest scores 1.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Rent control risk

55% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

11% renter households · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

6.3% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts

1.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts

10.0

Risk score comparison

Mill Pond Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Mill Pond Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51550020804	1.8	11,816	55%	$3,162

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 18

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 44%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 25%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mill Pond Forest

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

208Total filings (sum)
5.60%Avg annual filing rate
6.4%Peak year (2014)
7.49%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mill Pond Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.0%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility shutoff threat
10.2%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
6.5%No health insurance
26.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Mill Pond Forest

What is the eviction-risk score for Mill Pond Forest?

Mill Pond Forest scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Mill Pond Forest compare to Chesapeake overall?

Mill Pond Forest scores 1.8 points lower than Chesapeake overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,162 vs $1,586.

What is the average rent in Mill Pond Forest?

Average gross rent in Mill Pond Forest is $3,162/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Mill Pond Forest residents are renters?

11% of Mill Pond Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 26% in Chesapeake). The neighborhood has 11,816 residents.

Is Mill Pond Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Mill Pond Forest sits in the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Mill Pond Forest for landlords?

Mill Pond Forest carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chesapeake as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Mill Pond Forest?

Mill Pond Forest has 11,229 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mill Pond Forest

2.6 Bayberry Place 3 tracts · pop 8,426 2.5 River Arch Village 2 tracts · pop 5,236 1.2 Pines of Warrick 3 tracts · pop 11,639 1.7 Bells Mill 2 tracts · pop 10,171 2.8 West Munden 3 tracts · pop 10,179 2.6 Woodland Terrace 2 tracts · pop 4,547

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chesapeake

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mill Pond Forest.

1.8 Silverwood 1 tracts · pop 4,535 1.8 Greenbrier 1 tracts · pop 6,100 1.7 Owens Village 1 tracts · pop 2,034 1.7 Mallory Square 1 tracts · pop 1,693 1.7 Mount Pleasant 1 tracts · pop 3,338 1.7 Bells Mill 2 tracts · pop 10,171

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