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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Pines of Warrick Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake

Tract 51550021011 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 3,682 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 51550021011 in the Pines of Warrick area of Chesapeake, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 29% here against 49.2% across Chesapeake City.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 3% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,199
Renter share4.0%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$142,132

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Pines of Warrick
Moderate
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake
Moderate
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 61 tracts In Chesapeake city
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region

Centroid at 36.6962, -76.2570 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pines of Warrick scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,500 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5

How Pines of Warrick compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pines of Warrick risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0210113.4Chesapeakeparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 18Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak (2011)
  • 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51550021011
Filings dropped 100% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pines of Warrick. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pines of Warrick

At $2,500 a month, rents run 58% over what the rest of Chesapeake commands. The voucher gap is 47.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.7/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 18 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.6 points below the Chesapeake City average of 3.6.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 6.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51550021011

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021011?

Census tract 51550021011 in the Pines of Warrick neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51550021011?

Median gross rent is $2,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021011?

5.3% of residents in tract 51550021011 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,682.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021011?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 33th, minority 49th, housing 0th.
Q5

Is tract 51550021011 considered part of Pines of Warrick?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021011 fall within Pines of Warrick (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550021011?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51550021011 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.13% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51550021011 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51550021011 compare to Chesapeake overall?

Tract 51550021011 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake

Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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