Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Pines of Warrick Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021011 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 3,682 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
In the Pines of Warrick neighborhood of Chesapeake, census tract 51550021011 scores 4.1/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 13th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,500 a month against an average household income of $142,132 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,199
Renter share4.0%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$142,132
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.6962, -76.2570 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pines of Warrick scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,500 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Pines of Warrick compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 18Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2011)
- 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pines of Warrick. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pines of Warrick
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 18 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.1% of renter households in 2011.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 4th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021011
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021011?
Census tract 51550021011 in the Pines of Warrick neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51550021011?
Median gross rent is $2,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021011?
5.3% of residents in tract 51550021011 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021011?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 33th, minority 49th, housing 0th.
Q5
Is tract 51550021011 considered part of Pines of Warrick?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021011 fall within Pines of Warrick (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51550021011?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 51550021011 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.13% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51550021011 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51550021011 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021011 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Westover
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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