Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Pines of Warrick Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021015 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,117 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 51550021015 covers the Pines of Warrick area of Chesapeake, home to 2,117 residents. For landlords it grades 3.1/10, a lower reading. That is riskier than about 2% of US census tracts.
0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $148,421 a year. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units674
Renter share6.5%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$148,421
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.6965, -76.2786 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pines of Warrick scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Pines of Warrick compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pines of Warrick. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pines of Warrick
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Chesapeake City County average of 4.3 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021015
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021015?
Census tract 51550021015 in the Pines of Warrick neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021015?
1.5% of residents in tract 51550021015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,117.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021015?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 28th, minority 19th, housing 2th.
Q4
Is tract 51550021015 considered part of Pines of Warrick?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021015 fall within Pines of Warrick (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51550021015 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51550021015 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021015 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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