Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Pines of Warrick Eviction Risk: Lower , Chesapeake
Tract 51550021015 · Chesapeake city, VA · pop 2,117 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 51550021015 in the Pines of Warrick area of Chesapeake, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,117 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units674
Renter share6.5%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$148,421
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesapeake and the region
Centroid at 36.6965, -76.2786 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pines of Warrick scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chesapeake
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chesapeake
3.5
How Pines of Warrick compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pines of Warrick. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 4.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pines of Warrick
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 6.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 4.9% against 15.2% nationally.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Against the Chesapeake City average of 3.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51550021015
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51550021015?
Census tract 51550021015 in the Pines of Warrick neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51550021015?
1.5% of residents in tract 51550021015 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,117.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51550021015?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 28th, minority 19th, housing 2th.
Q4
Is tract 51550021015 considered part of Pines of Warrick?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51550021015 fall within Pines of Warrick (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51550021015 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51550021015 compare to Chesapeake overall?
Tract 51550021015 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Chesapeake at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chesapeake eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chesapeake
Top eight tracts in Chesapeake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Broadmoor
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Crystal Lake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Norfolk Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Campostella Square
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cloverdale
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Sandy Pines
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Mains Creek Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Parkwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related