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Neighborhood · Brandermill, VA

Cameron Bay Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 9,327 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.2/10 · range 1.6–2.6

Cameron Bay is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Brandermill with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,327 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 31% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,003/month sits 44% lower than the Brandermill citywide average ($1,782).

Risk score
2.2
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Cameron Bay vs Brandermill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.4% +10%
Brandermill: 28.5%
Average gross rent
$1,003 -44%
Brandermill: $1,782
Average HH income
$112,091 +4%
Brandermill: $107,748
Poverty rate
9.9% +29%
Brandermill: 7.7%
Renter share
25.1% -17%
Brandermill: 30.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cameron Bay and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.6–2.6

Why Cameron Bay scores 2.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2–5.8 across tracts
4.7
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 3.2–4.9 across tracts
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–5.0 across tracts
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 4.0–6.0 across tracts
5.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.6–5.0 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
9.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–3.2 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Cameron Bay vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cameron Bay score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cameron Bay: 2.22.2Cameron BayNeighborhoodParent city: 3.33.3Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Cameron Bay

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51041101012 2.6 5,446 54% $1,717
51041101013 1.6 3,881 0%
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 21

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 29%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cameron Bay

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 784Total filings (sum)
  • 11.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.7%Peak year (2013)
  • 6.11%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cameron Bay

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cameron Bay

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cameron Bay?

Cameron Bay scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cameron Bay compare to Brandermill overall?

Cameron Bay scores 1.1 points lower than Brandermill overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,003 vs $1,782.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cameron Bay?

Average gross rent in Cameron Bay is $1,003/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cameron Bay residents are renters?

25% of Cameron Bay households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Brandermill). The neighborhood has 9,327 residents.
Q5

Is Cameron Bay a high social-vulnerability area?

Cameron Bay sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cameron Bay have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cameron Bay is census tract 51041101012 (score 2.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.6 to 2.6, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Cameron Bay for landlords?

Cameron Bay carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandermill as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cameron Bay?

Cameron Bay has 9,384 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17%), Hispanic / Latino (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cameron Bay

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brandermill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cameron Bay.

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