2 census tracts · pop 9,327 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 3.2–4.9
Cameron Bay takes in 2 census tracts of Brandermill, VA, population 9,327. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $1,003, 44% below the Brandermill average of $1,782.
The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.2 to 4.9, a 1.7-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. 16% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.5/10. 31% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.
Filings are well documented here: 784 across 2 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 20.7% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 6.0% in 2016, is well off that peak.
At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Against average income of $112,091, annual rent is only 11%, a wide affordability cushion.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Cameron Bay vs BrandermillHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority37%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Cameron Bay
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
784Total filings (sum)
11.26%Avg annual filing rate
20.7%Peak year (2013)
6.11%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cameron Bay
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.2%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility shutoff threat
11.0%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
7.1%No health insurance
27.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Cameron Bay
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Cameron Bay?
Cameron Bay scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Cameron Bay compare to Brandermill overall?
Cameron Bay scores 0.2 points higher than Brandermill overall (4/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,003 vs $1,782.
Q3
What is the average rent in Cameron Bay?
Average gross rent in Cameron Bay is $1,003/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Cameron Bay residents are renters?
25% of Cameron Bay households are renter-occupied (vs 30% in Brandermill). The neighborhood has 9,327 residents.
Q5
Is Cameron Bay a high social-vulnerability area?
Cameron Bay sits in the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Cameron Bay have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Cameron Bay is census tract 51041101012 (score 4.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 4.9, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Cameron Bay for landlords?
Cameron Bay carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandermill as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Cameron Bay?
Cameron Bay has 9,384 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (73.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17%), Hispanic / Latino (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
