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Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 51041101004 Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51041101004 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,156

With a score of 3.1/10, tract 51041101004 in Chesterfield County, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,156 residents. Against Chesterfield County at 42.3%, 10% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 4% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,706
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$122,092

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 75 tracts In Chesterfield County
Low
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#1,741 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
National
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#65,414 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesterfield County and the region

Centroid at 37.3377, -77.7430 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 51041101004 scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,196 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 51041101004 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 51041101004 risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.1This tracttract 1010044.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 66Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.2%Peak (2013)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51041101004
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 51041101004

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10.

Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 66 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 17.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51041101004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041101004?

Census tract 51041101004 in Chesterfield County scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51041101004?

Median gross rent is $1,196/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51041101004?

1.8% of residents in tract 51041101004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,156.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51041101004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 14th, minority 38th, housing 5th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041101004?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 66 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041101004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.70% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51041101004 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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