Chesterfield Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Manchester

Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,611 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.8/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

SNAP participation runs 26.3% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,156 filings here across 7 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,386 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Manchester commands.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.