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Neighborhood · Manchester, VA

Chesterfield Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,511 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

Chesterfield Village maps to a single census tract in Manchester, VA, population 2,511. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, Moderate tier. Against a Manchester baseline of 35.0%, roughly two in three of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Set annual rent against average household income of $38,611 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is a renter market: 81% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.8/10.

The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. Court records for this tract carry 3,156 eviction filings. 15.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Food insecurity affects 28.2% of adults, 10.4 points above the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 68.9% of renter households.

One tract means one number: 5.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chesterfield Village vs Manchester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.6% +85%
Manchester: 35.0%
Average gross rent
$1,386 -11%
Manchester: $1,558
Average HH income
$38,611 -47%
Manchester: $72,465
Poverty rate
35.0% +158%
Manchester: 13.6%
Renter share
80.8% +100%
Manchester: 40.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chesterfield Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why Chesterfield Village scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
81% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Economic stress
35.0% below poverty line · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Chesterfield Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chesterfield Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8Chesterfield VillaNeighborhood4.4Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Chesterfield Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51041100107 5.8 2,511 65% $1,386
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 92

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 92%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Chesterfield Village

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,156Total filings (sum)
  • 56.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 68.9%Peak year (2012)
  • 44.95%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chesterfield Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chesterfield Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chesterfield Village?

Chesterfield Village scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chesterfield Village compare to Manchester overall?

Chesterfield Village scores 1.4 points higher than Manchester overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,386 vs $1,558.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chesterfield Village?

Average gross rent in Chesterfield Village is $1,386/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chesterfield Village residents are renters?

81% of Chesterfield Village households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Manchester). The neighborhood has 2,511 residents.
Q5

Is Chesterfield Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Chesterfield Village sits in the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Chesterfield Village for landlords?

Chesterfield Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Manchester as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Chesterfield Village?

Chesterfield Village has 2,748 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (42.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chesterfield Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Manchester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chesterfield Village.

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