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Neighborhood · Meadowbrook, VA

Dorchester Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,501 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Dorchester is a one-tract neighborhood of Meadowbrook, VA and houses 4,501 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs roughly two in three against 37.4% citywide, putting Dorchester 29.0% over its own city.

37% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10. Court records for this tract carry 266 eviction filings.

Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 10.7% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 6.5% in 2016 against a 10.7% peak. Average gross rent is $1,466, 7% below the Meadowbrook average of $1,583.

That places it #3 of 5 neighborhoods in Meadowbrook. At 24% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Beulah Village and Hunting Creek Hills score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Dorchester vs Meadowbrook How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
66.4% +78%
Meadowbrook: 37.4%
Average gross rent
$1,466 -7%
Meadowbrook: $1,583
Average HH income
$81,080 +2%
Meadowbrook: $79,750
Poverty rate
7.0% -46%
Meadowbrook: 12.9%
Renter share
24.0% -2%
Meadowbrook: 24.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dorchester and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Dorchester scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
24% renter households · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
7.0% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Dorchester vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Dorchester score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5DorchesterNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Dorchester

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51041100804 4.5 4,501 66% $1,466
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Dorchester

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 266Total filings (sum)
  • 8.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak year (2015)
  • 6.47%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dorchester

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Dorchester

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Dorchester?

Dorchester scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Dorchester compare to Meadowbrook overall?

Dorchester scores 0.5 points higher than Meadowbrook overall (4/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,466 vs $1,583.
Q3

What is the average rent in Dorchester?

Average gross rent in Dorchester is $1,466/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Dorchester residents are renters?

24% of Dorchester households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Meadowbrook). The neighborhood has 4,501 residents.
Q5

Is Dorchester a high social-vulnerability area?

Dorchester sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Dorchester for landlords?

Dorchester carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Meadowbrook as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Dorchester?

Dorchester has 4,365 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (44.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.8%), Hispanic / Latino (20.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dorchester

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Meadowbrook

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dorchester.

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