Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Hunting Creek Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Meadowbrook
Tract 51041100814 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 3,856 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 51041100814 in the Hunting Creek Hills area of Meadowbrook, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,856 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,387
Renter share31.4%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$79,332
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Meadowbrook and the region
Centroid at 37.4039, -77.4952 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hunting Creek Hills scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Meadowbrook
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,450 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Meadowbrook
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Meadowbrook
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Meadowbrook
6.4
How Hunting Creek Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 323Total filings over 7 yrs
- 12.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2014)
- 44Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hunting Creek Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.8%Food insecurity
- 16.6%SNAP enrollment
- 10.4%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hunting Creek Hills
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Court records carry 323 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Against the Chesterfield County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 16.1% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $1,450, 8% below the Meadowbrook average. In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100814
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100814?
Census tract 51041100814 in the Hunting Creek Hills neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100814?
Median gross rent is $1,450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100814?
10.8% of residents in tract 51041100814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,856.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100814?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 73th, minority 74th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100814 considered part of Hunting Creek Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100814 fall within Hunting Creek Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100814?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 323 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100814 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.83% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100814 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100814 compare to Meadowbrook overall?
Tract 51041100814 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Meadowbrook at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Meadowbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Meadowbrook
Top eight tracts in Meadowbrook ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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