Neighborhood · Danville, VA

Mechanicsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,948 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Mechanicsville is a black-white neighborhood in Danville with 1 census tract and a population of 1,948 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 20% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $897/month sits 7% higher than the Danville citywide average ($836).

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Mechanicsville vs Danville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

29.5% +6%

Danville: 27.7%

Average gross rent

$897 +7%

Danville: $836

Average HH income

$48,277 +13%

Danville: $42,778

Poverty rate

22.2% -11%

Danville: 25.0%

Renter share

78.6% +51%

Danville: 52.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mechanicsville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Mechanicsville scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

30% of income on rent · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

79% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts

9.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Economic stress

22.2% below poverty line · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Risk score comparison

Mechanicsville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Mechanicsville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51590000500	5.3	1,948	29%	$897

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 34%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 88%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mechanicsville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

21.1%Housing insecurity
15.2%Utility shutoff threat
28.7%Food insecurity
28.8%SNAP enrollment
13.1%No health insurance
41.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Mechanicsville

What is the eviction-risk score for Mechanicsville?

Mechanicsville scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Mechanicsville compare to Danville overall?

Mechanicsville scores 1.6 points higher than Danville overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $897 vs $836.

What is the average rent in Mechanicsville?

Average gross rent in Mechanicsville eviction risk is $897/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Mechanicsville residents are renters?

79% of Mechanicsville households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Danville). The neighborhood has 1,948 residents.

Is Mechanicsville a high social-vulnerability area?

Mechanicsville sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Mechanicsville for landlords?

Mechanicsville eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Danville as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Mechanicsville?

Mechanicsville has 1,966 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (59.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.7%), Other / Multiracial (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mechanicsville

5.2 Green Acres 2 tracts · pop 1,320

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Danville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mechanicsville.

5.1 Pinetag 1 tracts · pop 3,910 5.1 Major Court 1 tracts · pop 5,613 5 Green Acres 2 tracts · pop 1,320 5 Sherwood Forest 1 tracts · pop 3,083 5 Fox Hollow 1 tracts · pop 3,181 5.6 Sandy Shores 1 tracts · pop 2,745

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