1 census tracts · pop 1,948 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 4.2–4.2
Mechanicsville maps to a single census tract in Danville, VA and houses 1,948 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
This is a renter market: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
30% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
SNAP participation is 28.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 15.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $897 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Danville commands.
That places it #9 of 15 neighborhoods in Danville. For a like-for-like read, Pinetag and Major Court score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $48,277.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mechanicsville vs DanvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Mechanicsville
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
21.1%Housing insecurity
15.2%Utility shutoff threat
28.7%Food insecurity
28.8%SNAP enrollment
13.1%No health insurance
41.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Mechanicsville
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Mechanicsville?
Mechanicsville scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Mechanicsville compare to Danville overall?
Mechanicsville scores 0.2 points lower than Danville overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $897 vs $836.
Q3
What is the average rent in Mechanicsville?
Average gross rent in Mechanicsville eviction risk is $897/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Mechanicsville residents are renters?
79% of Mechanicsville households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Danville). The neighborhood has 1,948 residents.
Q5
Is Mechanicsville a high social-vulnerability area?
Mechanicsville sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Mechanicsville for landlords?
Mechanicsville eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Danville as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Mechanicsville?
Mechanicsville has 1,966 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (59.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.7%), Other / Multiracial (6.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
