1 census tracts · pop 2,745 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 4.7–4.7
Sandy Shores is a one-tract neighborhood of Danville, VA, population 2,745. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, Moderate tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Danville rate of 27.7%.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. 22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 26%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
At $1,015 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Danville commands. The voucher gap is 19.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
That places it #8 of 15 neighborhoods in Danville. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $46,607.
43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
One tract means one number: 4.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Sandy Shores vs DanvilleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sandy Shores
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.8%Housing insecurity
10.5%Utility shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
18.0%SNAP enrollment
10.0%No health insurance
37.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Sandy Shores
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Sandy Shores?
Sandy Shores scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Sandy Shores compare to Danville overall?
Sandy Shores scores 0.3 points higher than Danville overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,015 vs $836.
Q3
What is the average rent in Sandy Shores?
Average gross rent in Sandy Shores is $1,015/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Sandy Shores residents are renters?
43% of Sandy Shores households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Danville). The neighborhood has 2,745 residents.
Q5
Is Sandy Shores a high social-vulnerability area?
Sandy Shores sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Sandy Shores for landlords?
Sandy Shores carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Danville as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Sandy Shores?
Sandy Shores has 2,796 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (50.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (42.9%), Hispanic / Latino (3.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
