Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Fairfax Club Eviction Risk: Lower , Burke Centre
Tract 51059432000 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,665 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 51059432000 in the Fairfax Club area of Burke Centre, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,665 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,149
Renter share16.2%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$165,469
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burke Centre and the region
Centroid at 38.7954, -77.3222 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairfax Club scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burke Centre
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,296 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burke Centre
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burke Centre
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burke Centre
3.4
How Fairfax Club compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2012)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fairfax Club
Cost burden runs 28% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
The filing record is not thin: 43 evictions over 4 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.4% of renter households. At $2,296 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Burke Centre commands. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059432000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059432000?
Census tract 51059432000 in the Fairfax Club neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059432000?
Median gross rent is $2,296/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059432000?
2.3% of residents in tract 51059432000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,665.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059432000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 68th, minority 64th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 51059432000 considered part of Fairfax Club?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059432000 fall within Fairfax Club (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059432000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059432000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.69% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059432000 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059432000 compare to Burke Centre overall?
Tract 51059432000 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Burke Centre at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burke eviction risk Centre; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burke Centre
Top eight tracts in Burke Centre ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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