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Neighborhood · Burke Centre, VA

Fairfax Club Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,665 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Fairfax Club is a one-tract neighborhood of Burke Centre, VA and houses 3,665 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3.4/10, Lower tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

28% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. The filing record is not thin: 43 evictions logged in this tract. 11% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. SNAP participation is 6.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 4.4% of renter households.

Food insecurity affects 9.5% of adults, 8.3 points below the national rate. Average gross rent is $2,296, 9% below the Burke Centre average of $2,515. Recent filings have not receded much: 2.8% in 2016 against a 4.4% peak.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Burke Centre, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third. At 16% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Quiet Pond and Lucas Pond.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

One tract means one number: 3.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Fairfax Club vs Burke Centre How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
28.0% +3%
Burke Centre: 27.3%
Average gross rent
$2,296 -9%
Burke Centre: $2,515
Average HH income
$165,469 +3%
Burke Centre: $159,932
Poverty rate
2.3% -34%
Burke Centre: 3.5%
Renter share
16.2% -16%
Burke Centre: 19.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fairfax Club and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Fairfax Club scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
28% of income on rent · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
16% renter households · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Economic stress
2.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Fairfax Club vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Fairfax Club score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Fairfax Club: 3.43.4Fairfax ClubNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Fairfax Club

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059432000 3.4 3,665 28% $2,296
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 8%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Fairfax Club

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 43Total filings (sum)
  • 3.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak year (2012)
  • 2.82%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Fairfax Club

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Fairfax Club

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Fairfax Club?

Fairfax Club scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Fairfax Club compare to Burke Centre overall?

Fairfax Club scores 0.6 points lower than Burke Centre overall (4/10). Renters spend 28% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,296 vs $2,515.
Q3

What is the average rent in Fairfax Club?

Average gross rent in Fairfax eviction risk Club is $2,296/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Fairfax Club residents are renters?

16% of Fairfax Club households are renter-occupied (vs 19% in Burke Centre). The neighborhood has 3,665 residents.
Q5

Is Fairfax Club a high social-vulnerability area?

Fairfax Club sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Fairfax Club for landlords?

Fairfax eviction risk Club carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burke Centre as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Fairfax Club?

Fairfax Club has 3,517 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (16%), Hispanic / Latino (10.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Fairfax Club

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burke Centre

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Fairfax Club.

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