Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 51059491000 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059491000 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,145
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 51059491000 in Fairfax County, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,145. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.8/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units688
Renter share3.5%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
National
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fairfax County and the region
Centroid at 38.8524, -77.5079 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 51059491000 scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,429 rent vs county FMR
9.8
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 51059491000 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 2 yrs
- 14.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.3%Peak (2011)
- 1Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 51059491000
The voucher gap is 48.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.8% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 2 years of observation. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2011 at 14.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 14.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059491000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491000?
Census tract 51059491000 in Fairfax County scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059491000?
Median gross rent is $3,429/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491000?
3.5% of residents in tract 51059491000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,145.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 8th, minority 51th, housing 0th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51059491000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.29% of renter households, peaking at 14.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059491000 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Related