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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Brookfield Eviction Risk: Lower , Chantilly

Tract 51059491602 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,392 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51059491602 sits in the Brookfield area of Chantilly eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 5,392. Cost burden runs 59% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 8% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,585
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$137,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Brookfield
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Chantilly
Elevated
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#163 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chantilly and the region

Centroid at 38.8817, -77.4181 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brookfield scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chantilly
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,427 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chantilly
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chantilly
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chantilly
4.7

How Brookfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brookfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 491602Chantilly: 4.04.0Chantillyparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 36Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2011)
  • 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594916022011: 14 filings (4.98/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (4.27/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (1.42/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (2.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 57% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brookfield. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brookfield

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.5/10. 12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 36 filings here across 4 tracked years. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.1/10.

SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2011, when 5.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent is $2,427, close to the Chantilly average.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $137,083.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059491602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491602?

Census tract 51059491602 in the Brookfield neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059491602?

Median gross rent is $2,427/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491602?

6.0% of residents in tract 51059491602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,392.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 24th, minority 78th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 51059491602 considered part of Brookfield?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059491602 fall within Brookfield (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 36 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059491602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.27% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059491602 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059491602 compare to Chantilly overall?

Tract 51059491602 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Chantilly at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chantilly eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chantilly

Top eight tracts in Chantilly ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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