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Neighborhood · Chantilly, VA

Brookfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 17,598 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.4–5.2

Brookfield is a 3-tract neighborhood of Chantilly, VA, population 17,598. The Eviction Risk Score is 4/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 42% against 30.7% citywide, putting Brookfield 11.7% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.6/10. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.4 to 5.2, a 1.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Filings are well documented here: 221 across 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 9.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 3.5% in 2016, is well off that peak. At $2,483 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Chantilly commands. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $137,009.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Brookfield vs Chantilly How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.4% +38%
Chantilly: 30.7%
Average gross rent
$2,483 +7%
Chantilly: $2,312
Average HH income
$137,009 -5%
Chantilly: $143,786
Poverty rate
5.0% -18%
Chantilly: 6.1%
Renter share
21.8% +16%
Chantilly: 18.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Brookfield and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.4–5.2

Why Brookfield scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
5.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–6.9 across tracts
5.7
Risk score comparison

Brookfield vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Brookfield score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Brookfield: 4.04.0BrookfieldNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Brookfield?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 3.4 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Brookfield

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059491601 5.2 5,074 48% $2,156
51059491602 3.7 5,392 59% $2,427
51059482601 3.4 7,132 25% $2,759
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 27%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Brookfield

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 221Total filings (sum)
  • 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak year (2012)
  • 3.17%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Brookfield

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Brookfield

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Brookfield?

Brookfield scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Brookfield compare to Chantilly overall?

Brookfield scores 0.0 points higher than Chantilly overall (4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,483 vs $2,312.
Q3

What is the average rent in Brookfield?

Average gross rent in Brookfield is $2,483/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Brookfield residents are renters?

22% of Brookfield households are renter-occupied (vs 19% in Chantilly). The neighborhood has 17,598 residents.
Q5

Is Brookfield a high social-vulnerability area?

Brookfield sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Brookfield have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Brookfield is census tract 51059491601 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5.2, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Brookfield for landlords?

Brookfield carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chantilly as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Brookfield?

Brookfield has 17,642 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (41.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.1%), Hispanic / Latino (19.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Brookfield

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chantilly

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Brookfield.

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