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Neighborhood · Chantilly, VA

Brookfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 17,598 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.4–5.2

Brookfield is a 3-tract neighborhood of Chantilly, VA, population 17,598. The Eviction Risk Score is 4/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 42% against 30.7% citywide, putting Brookfield 11.7% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.6/10. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.4 to 5.2, a 1.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Filings are well documented here: 221 across 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 9.0% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 3.5% in 2016, is well off that peak. At $2,483 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Chantilly commands. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $137,009.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Brookfield vs Chantilly How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.4% +38%
Chantilly: 30.7%
Average gross rent
$2,483 +7%
Chantilly: $2,312
Average HH income
$137,009 -5%
Chantilly: $143,786
Poverty rate
5.0% -18%
Chantilly: 6.1%
Renter share
21.8% +16%
Chantilly: 18.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Brookfield and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.4–5.2

Why Brookfield scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
5.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–6.9 across tracts
5.7
Risk score comparison

Brookfield vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Brookfield score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.0BrookfieldNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Brookfield?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 3.4 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Brookfield

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51059491601 5.2 5,074 48% $2,156
51059491602 3.7 5,392 59% $2,427
51059482601 3.4 7,132 25% $2,759
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 24%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 27%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Brookfield

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 221Total filings (sum)
  • 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak year (2012)
  • 3.17%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Brookfield

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Brookfield

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Brookfield?

Brookfield scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Brookfield compare to Chantilly overall?

Brookfield scores 0.0 points higher than Chantilly overall (4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,483 vs $2,312.
Q3

What is the average rent in Brookfield?

Average gross rent in Brookfield is $2,483/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Brookfield residents are renters?

22% of Brookfield households are renter-occupied (vs 19% in Chantilly). The neighborhood has 17,598 residents.
Q5

Is Brookfield a high social-vulnerability area?

Brookfield sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Brookfield have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Brookfield is census tract 51059491601 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5.2, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Brookfield for landlords?

Brookfield carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chantilly as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Brookfield?

Brookfield has 17,642 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (41.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.1%), Hispanic / Latino (19.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Brookfield

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chantilly

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Brookfield.

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