Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Fairfax Station Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51059492100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,307 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Fairfax Station
51059492100 is a census tract in Fairfax Station, VA. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,307. Cost burden runs 11% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,088
Renter share6.8%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fairfax Station and the region
Centroid at 38.7605, -77.3310 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairfax Station scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fairfax Station
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,352 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fairfax Station
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fairfax Station
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fairfax Station
5.7
How Fairfax Station compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2011)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.6%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 11.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fairfax Station
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.2/10. Average gross rent is $2,352, 16% below the Fairfax Station average.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions over 4 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 1.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $250,001, annual rent is just 11%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059492100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059492100?
Census tract 51059492100 in Fairfax Station scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059492100?
Median gross rent is $2,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059492100?
2.8% of residents in tract 51059492100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,307.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059492100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 23th, minority 40th, housing 2th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059492100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059492100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.00% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059492100 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059492100 compare to Fairfax Station overall?
Tract 51059492100 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Fairfax Station at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fairfax eviction risk Station; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fairfax Station
Top eight tracts in Fairfax Station ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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