Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Iris Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Franklin Farm
Tract 51059482504 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,018 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 3.1/10, tract 51059482504 in the Iris Hills area of Franklin Farm, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,018 residents. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,595
Renter share3.1%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.5%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Franklin Farm and the region
Centroid at 38.9098, -77.3959 · click any tract to drill in
Why Iris Hills scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Franklin Farm
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,475 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Franklin Farm
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Franklin Farm
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Franklin Farm
3.8
How Iris Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2012)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Iris Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.3%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.7%Food insecurity
- 2.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.2%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 10.2%Frequent mental distress
- 17.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Iris Hills
The voucher gap is 50.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Average gross rent is $3,475, 32% above the Franklin Farm average. Disability prevalence runs 17.7% against 31.5% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 2.5% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.2 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 filings here across 4 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 5.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482504?
Census tract 51059482504 in the Iris Hills neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482504?
Median gross rent is $3,475/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482504?
0.5% of residents in tract 51059482504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,018.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 12th, minority 56th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482504 considered part of Iris Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482504 fall within Iris Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482504?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.74% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059482504 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059482504 compare to Franklin Farm overall?
Tract 51059482504 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Franklin Farm at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Franklin Farm; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Franklin Farm
Top eight tracts in Franklin Farm ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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