Cannon Eviction Risk: Lower , Rose Hill
Tract 51059420300 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,360 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51059420300 is a census tract in the Cannon area of Rose Hill, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,360 residents. The voucher gap is 34.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Rose Hill and the region
Centroid at 38.7971, -77.1008 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cannon scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Cannon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 30Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2012)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 21.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Cannon
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.5/10.
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Well under the midpoint, local political climate reads 2.4/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.1% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 30 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
At $3,119 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Rose Hill commands. The worst year on record was 2012, when 5.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51059420300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420300?
What is the average rent in tract 51059420300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420300?
Is tract 51059420300 considered part of Cannon?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420300?
What share of households in tract 51059420300 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059420300 compare to Rose Hill overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Rose Hill
Top eight tracts in Rose Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.