Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Fair Haven Eviction Risk: Elevated , Huntington
Tract 51059420501 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 950 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 7/10, tract 51059420501 in the Fair Haven area of Huntington, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 950 residents. Cost burden runs 57% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units603
Renter share31.2%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$86,114
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Huntington and the region
Centroid at 38.7889, -77.0700 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fair Haven scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Huntington
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,014 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Huntington
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Huntington
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Huntington
5.0
How Fair Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 2 yrs
- 0.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.3%Peak (2011)
- 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fair Haven. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.1%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 10.0%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fair Haven
It sits 2.7 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10. The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 2 years of observation.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2011 at 0.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 0.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $2,014, close to the Huntington average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059420501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420501?
Census tract 51059420501 in the Fair Haven neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059420501?
Median gross rent is $2,014/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420501?
11.3% of residents in tract 51059420501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 950.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 22th, minority 52th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 51059420501 considered part of Fair Haven?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059420501 fall within Fair Haven (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51059420501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.25% of renter households, peaking at 0.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059420501 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059420501 compare to Huntington overall?
Tract 51059420501 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Huntington at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Huntington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Huntington
Top eight tracts in Huntington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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