Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Jefferson Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Huntington
Tract 51059420400 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,441 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
51059420400 is a census tract in the Jefferson Manor area of Huntington, VA. It scores 6.8/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,221
Renter share71.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$90,273
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Huntington and the region
Centroid at 38.7952, -77.0681 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jefferson Manor scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Huntington
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,039 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Huntington
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Huntington
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Huntington
5.0
How Jefferson Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 286Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2013)
- 73Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 46% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Jefferson Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 18.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jefferson Manor
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Disability prevalence runs 18.5% against 31.5% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 286 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 7.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059420400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420400?
Census tract 51059420400 in the Jefferson Manor neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059420400?
Median gross rent is $2,039/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420400?
7.3% of residents in tract 51059420400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,441.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 1th, minority 67th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 51059420400 considered part of Jefferson Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059420400 fall within Jefferson Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059420400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.14% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059420400 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059420400 compare to Huntington overall?
Tract 51059420400 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Huntington at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Huntington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Huntington
Top eight tracts in Huntington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related