Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Jefferson Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Huntington
Tract 51059420600 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,109 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 51059420600 sits in the Jefferson Manor area of Huntington, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 5,109. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,968
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$131,528
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Huntington and the region
Centroid at 38.7885, -77.0807 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jefferson Manor scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Huntington
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,897 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Huntington
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Huntington
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Huntington
5.0
How Jefferson Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 302Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.5%Peak (2016)
- 135Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 155% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Jefferson Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.1%Food insecurity
- 10.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jefferson Manor
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. Court records carry 302 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 13.5% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,897, 8% below the Huntington average. In a typical year about 9.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.1/10.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $131,528, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059420600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420600?
Census tract 51059420600 in the Jefferson Manor neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059420600?
Median gross rent is $1,897/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420600?
5.6% of residents in tract 51059420600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,109.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 33th, minority 67th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 51059420600 considered part of Jefferson Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059420600 fall within Jefferson Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 302 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059420600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.00% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059420600 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059420600 compare to Huntington overall?
Tract 51059420600 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Huntington at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Huntington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Huntington
Top eight tracts in Huntington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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