Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Jefferson Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Huntington
Tract 51059420503 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,228 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51059420503 is a census tract in the Jefferson Manor area of Huntington, VA. It scores 7/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,228. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.7 points.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,474
Renter share73.1%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$95,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Huntington and the region
Centroid at 38.7896, -77.0749 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jefferson Manor scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Huntington
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,179 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Huntington
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Huntington
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Huntington
5.0
How Jefferson Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 438Total filings over 4 yrs
- 11.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2016)
- 147Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 145% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Jefferson Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.8%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 20.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jefferson Manor
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 438 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Food insecurity runs 9.8% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 14.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 11.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059420503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420503?
Census tract 51059420503 in the Jefferson Manor neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059420503?
Median gross rent is $2,179/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420503?
10.6% of residents in tract 51059420503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,228.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 22th, minority 68th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 51059420503 considered part of Jefferson Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059420503 fall within Jefferson Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 438 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059420503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.54% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059420503 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059420503 compare to Huntington overall?
Tract 51059420503 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Huntington at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Huntington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Huntington
Top eight tracts in Huntington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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