Mount Vernon Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.3/10. Court records for this tract carry 434 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 25.6% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 8.4% in 2016, is well off that peak. The closest comparables inside the same city are Yacht Haven and Wessynton.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $1,577, close to the Mount Vernon average.

50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.