York Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 51059420100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,483 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 51059420100 in the York Manor area of Springfield, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,483 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 38.7859, -77.1644 · click any tract to drill in
Why York Manor scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow York Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 28Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2016)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 24.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in York Manor
Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 71% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 28 filings here across 4 tracked years.
SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. At $2,396 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Springfield commands. Filings peaked in 2016 at 9.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51059420100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420100?
What is the average rent in tract 51059420100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420100?
Is tract 51059420100 considered part of York Manor?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420100?
What share of households in tract 51059420100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059420100 compare to Springfield overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.