2 census tracts · pop 6,804 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10
· range 3.4–3.4
Sun Valley takes in 2 census tracts of Wolf Trap, VA and houses 6,804 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.4/10, placing it in the Lower tier. 62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Wolf Trap rate of 33.0%.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 50.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1/10. Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.1/10.
SNAP participation is 2.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 2.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings are well documented here: 7 across 2 observed tracts.
The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 6.1% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 5.1% in 2016 against a 6.1% peak. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Against average income of $249,479, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
With little internal variation, 3.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sun Valley vs Wolf TrapHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport1%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Sun Valley
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
7Total filings (sum)
4.17%Avg annual filing rate
6.1%Peak year (2013)
4.95%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sun Valley
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
4.0%Housing insecurity
2.7%Utility shutoff threat
4.2%Food insecurity
2.5%SNAP enrollment
3.6%No health insurance
19.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Sun Valley
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Sun Valley?
Sun Valley scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Sun Valley compare to Wolf Trap overall?
Sun Valley scores 0.6 points lower than Wolf Trap overall (4/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $3,488 vs $3,501.
Q3
What is the average rent in Sun Valley?
Average gross rent in Sun Valley is $3,488/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Sun Valley residents are renters?
4% of Sun Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 4% in Wolf Trap). The neighborhood has 6,804 residents.
Q5
Is Sun Valley a high social-vulnerability area?
Sun Valley sits in the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Sun Valley have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Sun Valley is census tract 51059460200 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Sun Valley for landlords?
Sun Valley carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wolf Trap as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Sun Valley?
Sun Valley has 6,851 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.7%), Other / Multiracial (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
