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Neighborhood · Wolf Trap, VA

Sun Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 6,804 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.0/10 · range 5.9–6.0

Sun Valley is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Wolf Trap with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,804 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 4% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $3,488/month sits 0% lower than the Wolf Trap citywide median ($3,501).

Risk score
6.0
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sun Valley vs Wolf Trap How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
62.2% +88%
Wolf Trap: 33.0%
Average gross rent
$3,488 0%
Wolf Trap: $3,501
Average HH income
$249,479 0%
Wolf Trap: $250,001
Poverty rate
2.1% -47%
Wolf Trap: 4.0%
Renter share
4.0% +8%
Wolf Trap: 3.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sun Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.9–6.0

Why Sun Valley scores 6.0

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
4% renter households · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Economic stress
2.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Risk score comparison

Sun Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sun Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Sun Valley: 6.06.0Sun ValleyNeighborhoodParent city: 4.84.8Parent cityhost cityState: 5.35.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Sun Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059460200 6.0 4,003 72% $3,479
51059460300 5.9 2,801 48% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 1

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 1%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 1%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Sun Valley

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings (sum)
  • 4.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak year (2013)
  • 4.95%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sun Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sun Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sun Valley?

Sun Valley scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Sun Valley compare to Wolf Trap overall?

Sun Valley scores 1.2 points higher than Wolf Trap overall (4.8/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Median rent: $3,488 vs $3,501.

Q3

What is the average rent in Sun Valley?

Median gross rent in Sun Valley is $3,488/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Sun Valley residents are renters?

4% of Sun Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 4% in Wolf Trap). The neighborhood has 6,804 residents.

Q5

Is Sun Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Sun Valley sits in the 1th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Sun Valley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sun Valley is census tract 51059460200 (score 6.0/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 6.0 — a spread of 0.1 points.

Q7

How safe is Sun Valley for landlords?

Sun Valley carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.0/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wolf Trap as a whole (4.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Sun Valley?

Sun Valley has 6,851 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (75.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.7%), Other / Multiracial (7.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sun Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Wolf Trap

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sun Valley.

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