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Eviction risk map of Frederick County, Virginia showing a 3.3/10 Low risk score, ranked 88th of 132 Virginia counties
County brief·Updated July 26, 2026

Frederick County, Virginia Eviction Risk: Low

7 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Shawneeland (4) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.

In 2026
Risk score
3.3
LOW

Ranked #88 of 132 VA counties

10k residents · 7 cities · 19 tracts

1976–2026 · pop-weighted from cities

Frederick County eviction risk score history

Min1.5 Average2.1 Now3.3
10 5 1976 · score 1.6 1977 · score 1.6 1978 · score 1.6 1979 · score 1.6 1980 · score 1.6 1981 · score 1.6 1982 · score 1.7 1983 · score 1.6 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.6 1987 · score 1.5 1988 · score 1.5 1989 · score 1.5 1990 · score 1.6 1991 · score 1.7 1992 · score 1.7 1993 · score 1.7 1994 · score 1.6 1995 · score 1.6 1996 · score 1.7 1997 · score 1.7 1998 · score 1.6 1999 · score 1.6 2000 · score 1.6 2001 · score 1.7 2002 · score 1.8 2003 · score 1.8 2004 · score 1.7 2005 · score 1.7 2006 · score 1.8 2007 · score 1.8 2008 · score 2.4 2009 · score 2.5 2010 · score 2.6 2011 · score 2.6 2012 · score 2.5 2013 · score 2.5 2014 · score 2.5 2015 · score 2.5 2016 · score 2.5 2017 · score 2.5 2018 · score 2.5 2019 · score 2.6 2020 · score 4.4 2021 · score 4.5 2022 · score 3.7 2023 · score 3.3 2024 · score 3.4 2025 · score 3.3 2026 · score 3.3

Key metrics

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2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Frederick County scores 3.3/10 (Low), with individual community scores ranging from 3.2 to 4 across its 7 tracked localities. The county sits below the Virginia statewide average. Ranked 88th of 132 Virginia counties - in the lower-risk third of the state, with 87 counties carrying higher eviction risk.

How Frederick County ranks in Virginia

Lower number means more extreme, where #1 is the most
Eviction Risk Score
Low
#88 of 132 VA counties 3.3 / 10
Eviction Risk Score, 34th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 132 counties in Virginia for landlord eviction risk.
Cost of living
Elevated
#16 of 51 states (statewide) 101.1 index
Cost of living, 70th percentileLowHigh
Virginia ranks #16 of 51 states on overall cost of living (1.1% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Housing services cost
Elevated
#17 of 51 states (statewide) 106.8 index
Housing services cost, 68th percentileLowHigh
Virginia ranks #17 of 51 states on housing services (6.8% more expensive than the U.S. avg).
Income spent on rent
High
#19 of 132 VA counties 35.1% of income
Income spent on rent, 86th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 132 counties in Virginia on % of income spent on rent.

Landlord guides for Virginia

State-specific playbooks
Virginia Eviction Costs →
Filing fees, attorney fees, lost rent, sheriff lockout
Virginia Eviction Process →
Step-by-step timeline, notices, statute cites
Virginia Rent Control →
Statewide caps, local ordinances, just-cause
Virginia Tenant Screening →
Five-point protocol, legal rules, protected classes
Virginia Tenant Protections →
Just cause, retaliation, habitability, entry
Cities in Frederick County
Sorted by Eviction Risk Score · highest first
Map view
CityPopulationRisk% income on rentAverage rentLean
001 Shawneeland Pop 2,754 · 26.7% income · $1,469 rent · Rep 2,754 3.3 26.7% $1,469 Rep
002 Stephens City Pop 2,393 · 24.0% income · $1,210 rent · Rep 2,393 3.3 24.0% $1,210 Rep
003 Lake Holiday Pop 2,193 · 25.6% income · $2,045 rent · Rep 2,193 3.2 25.6% $2,045 Rep
004 Middletown Pop 1,786 · 29.5% income · $798 rent · Rep 1,786 3.3 29.5% $798 Rep
005 Brucetown Pop 250 · 26.8% income · $1,755 rent · Rep 250 3.8 26.8% $1,755 Rep
006 Gore Pop 86 · 86.6% income · $1,136 rent · Rep 86 4.0 86.6% $1,136 Rep
007 Lebanon Church Pop 63 · 26.2% income · $1,724 rent · Rep 63 3.9 26.2% $1,724 Rep

County heatmap

Geographic distribution
Local landlord context

One county, multiple regulatory regimes.

Frederick County sits in the northern Shenandoah Valley, anchored by the city of Winchester to its east and stretching west toward the West Virginia border. Among Virginia eviction laws's 132 counties, it lands at rank 88th - placing it firmly in the lower-risk of the state by eviction exposure, with 87 counties carrying higher risk. The county's composite eviction risk score is 3.3/10 (Low), and the spread across its seven tracked communities runs from 3.2 to 4 - a tight band that reflects the county's relatively uniform housing market and the absence of any high-density urban center within its boundaries.

Roughly 22% of Frederick County residents rent, a share well below the Virginia eviction laws statewide average, which helps hold aggregate eviction pressure low. The average contract rent across the county is $1,417 per month, and renters here put an average of 26.8% of their income toward housing - below the nationally recognized 30% cost-burden threshold, though that figure masks meaningful variation across the county's smaller communities. The poverty rate stands at 8.7%, lower than many comparable Shenandoah Valley localities, and the county's steady population growth driven by Winchester eviction risk's suburban expansion has kept vacancy rates tight without generating the kind of speculative rent pressure seen in Northern Virginia eviction laws closer to Washington eviction laws, D.C.

Within the county, the largest renter communities show mostly consistent risk levels: Shawneeland scores 3.3/10, Stephens City 3.3/10, Lake Holiday 3.2/10, and Middletown 3.3/10. The highest individual exposures appear in the county's smallest communities - Gore reaches 4/10 and Lebanon Church 3.9/10, reflecting the compounding vulnerability that comes with limited housing stock, fewer support resources, and thinner local legal aid coverage. Brucetown sits at 3.8/10. These small-community scores pull the county's upper bound to 4, though because these localities account for a small share of the total renter population, they have limited weight on the county-wide 3.3 average. Frederick County's legal framework is set entirely by state statute - Virginia eviction laws preempts local rent control under state law, so no city or county in the commonwealth may cap rent increases, and Frederick is no exception. The Virginia eviction laws Residential Landlord and Tenant Act (Va. Code § 55.1-1200 et seq.) governs every residential tenancy here, with no local overlays in effect.

Frederick County's 3.3/10 Low eviction risk score reflects a rural-suburban county where owner-occupancy dominates, renter density is low, and Virginia eviction laws's landlord-friendly baseline statute operates without any local tenant protections. The 22% renter share, $1,417 average rent, and 26.8% rent burden sit at comfortable distances from the stress thresholds that drive high eviction filing rates elsewhere in the state. That said, the county's limited rental stock and small-community geography mean individual households have fewer alternatives if a tenancy breaks down, and the absence of just-cause requirements or source-of-income protections leaves renters here with narrower statutory footing than tenants in jurisdictions such as Arlington eviction risk or Alexandria eviction risk.

Eviction filings in Virginia

Eviction Lab Tracking System · statewide · live through 2026-05-01

The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Virginia statewide (no county-level tracker available for Frederick County). In the past month, 10,534 statewide filings were recorded, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline).

Virginia statewide, last 36 months 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Virginia statewide eviction filings (Eviction Lab)2023-05-01: 11,279 filings (0.99× hist)2023-06-01: 11,871 filings (1.01× hist)2023-07-01: 11,681 filings (1.01× hist)2023-08-01: 11,916 filings (1.00× hist)2023-09-01: 11,466 filings (1.00× hist)2023-10-01: 12,415 filings (1.00× hist)2023-11-01: 10,388 filings (0.96× hist)2023-12-01: 11,234 filings (1.04× hist)2024-01-01: 12,658 filings (1.00× hist)2024-02-01: 12,400 filings (1.08× hist)2024-03-01: 10,487 filings (0.95× hist)2024-04-01: 10,082 filings (1.02× hist)2024-05-01: 11,419 filings (1.01× hist)2024-06-01: 11,744 filings (1.00× hist)2024-07-01: 11,546 filings (0.99× hist)2024-08-01: 11,845 filings (1.00× hist)2024-09-01: 11,560 filings (1.00× hist)2024-10-01: 12,537 filings (1.01× hist)2024-11-01: 11,255 filings (1.04× hist)2024-12-01: 10,429 filings (0.96× hist)2025-01-01: 14,590 filings (1.15× hist)2025-02-01: 10,161 filings (0.91× hist)2025-03-01: 11,563 filings (1.04× hist)2025-04-01: 10,358 filings (1.05× hist)2025-05-01: 11,904 filings (1.05× hist)2025-06-01: 10,882 filings (0.92× hist)2025-07-01: 13,152 filings (1.13× hist)2025-08-01: 11,685 filings (0.98× hist)2025-09-01: 11,970 filings (1.04× hist)2025-10-01: 12,965 filings (1.04× hist)2025-11-01: 10,193 filings (0.94× hist)2025-12-01: 10,630 filings (0.98× hist)2026-01-01: 12,943 filings (1.02× hist)2026-02-01: 11,303 filings (1.01× hist)2026-03-01: 11,712 filings (1.06× hist)2026-04-01: 10,534 filings (1.07× hist)
Notice requirement: at least five days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $36.
1

Eviction filings in Frederick County

In September 2025, 19 eviction filings were recorded in Frederick County, 58.9% of the historical average (below average).2

Last 24 months of filings 2023-10 – 2025-09
Monthly eviction filings in Frederick County (LSC CCDI)2023-10: 18 filings (45.6% of avg)2023-11: 23 filings (74.8% of avg)2023-12: 12 filings (36.1% of avg)2024-01: 24 filings (69.1% of avg)2024-02: 15 filings (56.1% of avg)2024-03: 34 filings (136.0% of avg)2024-04: 12 filings (48.5% of avg)2024-05: 24 filings (72.2% of avg)2024-06: 22 filings (74.0% of avg)2024-07: 17 filings (53.1% of avg)2024-08: 22 filings (61.1% of avg)2024-09: 29 filings (89.9% of avg)2024-10: 32 filings (81.0% of avg)2024-11: 33 filings (107.3% of avg)2024-12: 27 filings (81.2% of avg)2025-01: 25 filings (71.9% of avg)2025-02: 34 filings (127.1% of avg)2025-03: 19 filings (76.0% of avg)2025-04: 20 filings (80.8% of avg)2025-05: 32 filings (96.2% of avg)2025-06: 21 filings (70.6% of avg)2025-07: 36 filings (112.5% of avg)2025-08: 30 filings (83.3% of avg)2025-09: 19 filings (58.9% of avg)

Historical eviction filings in Frederick County

From 2010 to 2016, eviction filings in Frederick County declined 36%. The peak was 501 filings in 2010.3

Annual filings 2010–2016 No filing data published after 2018
Annual eviction filings in Frederick County 2000-2018 (Eviction Lab)2010: 501 filings2011: 432 filings2012: 415 filings2013: 393 filings2014: 357 filings2015: 283 filings2016: 320 filings

Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.

How Frederick County compares

Frederick County's 3.3/10 sits below the Virginia statewide average of 3.8/10, consistent with its position in the lower-risk of the state at rank 88th of 132. Peer counties - including Page County, Pittsylvania County, Mecklenburg County, Caroline County, and Buena Vista city - all register in a comparable low-to-moderate band, none approaching the elevated scores seen in Virginia's high-density urban localities. Frederick's combination of low renter density (22%), moderate rent burden (26.8%), and an absence of any tenant-protective local ordinances produces a risk profile that is broadly landlord-favorable relative to the state as a whole.

Peer counties in Virginia

Same state, closest by population and Eviction Risk Score
Peer county
Page County eviction risk
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 9.7K
Peer county
Pittsylvania County eviction risk
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 10.5K
Peer county
Mecklenburg County eviction risk
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 11.5K
Peer county
Caroline County eviction risk
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Pop. 8.9K

Where eviction risk concentrates in Frederick County

Top cities + top neighborhoods · click any card for the full breakdown

Top cities by population

Frequently asked

Frequently asked questions about Frederick County

Q1

Is Frederick County landlord-friendly?

Yes, Frederick County is in the lower-risk tier at 3.3/10.
Q2

What is the average rent in Frederick County?

Average gross rent in Frederick County runs $1,416/month across 7 cities, per ACS 2023 5-year estimates.
Q3

Which city in Frederick County has the highest eviction risk?

The highest score in Frederick County is 4/10. Use the city grid above to identify the specific municipality.