Frederick County, Virginia Eviction Risk: Low
7 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Shawneeland (6.6) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #116 of 132 VA counties
10k residents · 7 cities · 19 tracts
Frederick County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord26.2%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Frederick County, VA, tenants prevail in roughly 26.2% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline54dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Frederick County, VA until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 54 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$2.0–5.6klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Frederick County, VA costs landlords $2,004 to $5,644 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$1,41727% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Frederick County, VA is $1,417 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 27% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters22.0%of households22.0% of occupied housing units in Frederick County, VA are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty8.7%4.5% unemp.8.7% of Frederick County, VA residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 4.5%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Frederick County scores 3.5/10 (Low), with individual community scores ranging from 3.2 to 6.6 across its 7 tracked localities. The county sits below the Virginia statewide average. Ranked 116th of 132 Virginia counties - in the lower-risk third of the state, with 115 counties carrying higher eviction risk.
How Frederick County ranks in Virginia
Landlord guides for Virginia
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Shawneeland | 2,754 | 3.4 | 26.7% | $1,469 | Rep |
| 002 | Stephens City | 2,393 | 3.5 | 24.0% | $1,210 | Rep |
| 003 | Lake Holiday | 2,193 | 3.2 | 25.6% | $2,045 | Rep |
| 004 | Middletown | 1,786 | 4.0 | 29.5% | $798 | Rep |
| 005 | Brucetown | 250 | 3.4 | 26.8% | $1,755 | Rep |
| 006 | Gore | 86 | 6.6 | 86.6% | $1,136 | Rep |
| 007 | Lebanon Church | 63 | 6.6 | 26.2% | $1,724 | Rep |
County heatmap
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Frederick County sits in the northern Shenandoah Valley, anchored by the city of Winchester to its east and stretching west toward the West Virginia border. Among Virginia eviction laws's 132 counties, it lands at rank 116th - placing it firmly in the lower-risk of the state by eviction exposure, with 115 counties carrying higher risk. The county's composite eviction risk score is 3.5/10 (Low), and the spread across its seven tracked communities runs from 3.2 to 6.6 - a tight band that reflects the county's relatively uniform housing market and the absence of any high-density urban center within its boundaries.
Roughly 22% of Frederick County residents rent, a share well below the Virginia eviction laws statewide average, which helps hold aggregate eviction pressure low. The average contract rent across the county is $1,417 per month, and renters here put an average of 26.8% of their income toward housing - below the nationally recognized 30% cost-burden threshold, though that figure masks meaningful variation across the county's smaller communities. The poverty rate stands at 8.7%, lower than many comparable Shenandoah Valley localities, and the county's steady population growth driven by Winchester eviction risk's suburban expansion has kept vacancy rates tight without generating the kind of speculative rent pressure seen in Northern Virginia eviction laws closer to Washington eviction laws, D.C.
Within the county, the largest renter communities show mostly consistent risk levels: Shawneeland scores 3.4/10, Stephens City 3.5/10, Lake Holiday 3.2/10, and Middletown 4/10. The highest individual exposures appear in the county's smallest communities - Gore reaches 6.6/10 and Lebanon Church 6.6/10, reflecting the compounding vulnerability that comes with limited housing stock, fewer support resources, and thinner local legal aid coverage. Brucetown sits at 3.4/10. These small-community scores pull the county's upper bound to 6.6, though because these localities account for a small share of the total renter population, they have limited weight on the county-wide 3.5 average. Frederick County's legal framework is set entirely by state statute - Virginia eviction laws preempts local rent control under state law, so no city or county in the commonwealth may cap rent increases, and Frederick is no exception. The Virginia eviction laws Residential Landlord and Tenant Act (Va. Code § 55.1-1200 et seq.) governs every residential tenancy here, with no local overlays in effect.
Frederick County's 3.5/10 Low eviction risk score reflects a rural-suburban county where owner-occupancy dominates, renter density is low, and Virginia eviction laws's landlord-friendly baseline statute operates without any local tenant protections. The 22% renter share, $1,417 average rent, and 26.8% rent burden sit at comfortable distances from the stress thresholds that drive high eviction filing rates elsewhere in the state. That said, the county's limited rental stock and small-community geography mean individual households have fewer alternatives if a tenancy breaks down, and the absence of just-cause requirements or source-of-income protections leaves renters here with narrower statutory footing than tenants in jurisdictions such as Arlington eviction risk or Alexandria eviction risk.
Eviction filings in Virginia
The Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System covers Virginia statewide (no county-level tracker available for Frederick County). In the past month, 10,534 statewide filings were recorded, 1.07× the historical baseline (near baseline).
- 10,534Past month (state)
- 139,873Past 12 months
- 1.02×vs baseline (12 mo)
Eviction filings in Frederick County
In September 2025, 19 eviction filings were recorded in Frederick County, 58.9% of the historical average (below average).2
- 19Sep 2025
- 58.9%of historical avg
- 7,547Renter households
- 7.1%Poverty rate
Historical eviction filings in Frederick County
From 2010 to 2016, eviction filings in Frederick County declined 36%. The peak was 501 filings in 2010.3
- 5012010
- 501Peak (2010)
- 3202016
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Frederick County compares
Frederick County's 3.5/10 sits below the Virginia statewide average of 4.3/10, consistent with its position in the lower-risk of the state at rank 116th of 132. Peer counties - including Page County, Pittsylvania County, Mecklenburg County, Caroline County, and Buena Vista city - all register in a comparable low-to-moderate band, none approaching the elevated scores seen in Virginia's high-density urban localities. Frederick's combination of low renter density (22%), moderate rent burden (26.8%), and an absence of any tenant-protective local ordinances produces a risk profile that is broadly landlord-favorable relative to the state as a whole.