Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Pine Chapel Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hampton
Tract 51650010502 · Hampton city, VA · pop 3,420 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51650010502 is a census tract in the Pine Chapel Village area of Hampton, VA. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,420 residents. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units1,728
Renter share73.0%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$54,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hampton and the region
Centroid at 37.0353, -76.3836 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pine Chapel Village scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Hampton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,318 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hampton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hampton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hampton
4.5
How Pine Chapel Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,695Total filings over 6 yrs
- 74.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 104.9%Peak (2011)
- 402Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pine Chapel Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.2%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pine Chapel Village
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 50.4% across Hampton City. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
The filing record is not thin: 3,695 evictions over 6 years of observation. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.1/10.
It sits 0.8 points above the Hampton City average of 4.0. The worst year on record was 2011, when 104.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 74.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51650010502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51650010502?
Census tract 51650010502 in the Pine Chapel Village neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51650010502?
Median gross rent is $1,318/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51650010502?
18.5% of residents in tract 51650010502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,420.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51650010502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 63th, minority 91th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 51650010502 considered part of Pine Chapel Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51650010502 fall within Pine Chapel Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51650010502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,695 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51650010502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 74.07% of renter households, peaking at 104.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51650010502 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51650010502 compare to Hampton overall?
Tract 51650010502 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Hampton at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Hampton
Top eight tracts in Hampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Windsor Terrace
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Windsor Terrace
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Northampton
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Aberdeen Gardens
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kecoughtan
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Salters Creek
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related