Neighborhood · Mechanicsville, VA

Sledd Run Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,949 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.4/10 · range 1.6–3.3

Sledd Run is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mechanicsville with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,949 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 47% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,492/month sits 13% lower than the Mechanicsville citywide average ($1,724).

Risk score

2.4

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Sledd Run vs Mechanicsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

46.8% +58%

Mechanicsville: 29.6%

Average gross rent

$1,492 -13%

Mechanicsville: $1,724

Average HH income

$86,436 -11%

Mechanicsville: $97,569

Poverty rate

9.3% +74%

Mechanicsville: 5.4%

Renter share

41.3% +69%

Mechanicsville: 24.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sledd Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.6–3.3

Why Sledd Run scores 2.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts

3.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts

8.6

Rent control risk

47% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts

3.3

Tenant organizing strength

41% renter households · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Economic stress

9.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–4.4 across tracts

3.8

Risk score comparison

Sledd Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Sledd Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51085321202	3.3	4,364	61%	$1,378
51085321201	1.6	4,585	33%	$1,601

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 47%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 34%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 39%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sledd Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.7%Housing insecurity
7.9%Utility shutoff threat
14.0%Food insecurity
12.7%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
32.7%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Sledd Run

What is the eviction-risk score for Sledd Run?

Sledd Run scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Sledd Run compare to Mechanicsville overall?

Sledd Run scores 1.1 points lower than Mechanicsville overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,492 vs $1,724.

What is the average rent in Sledd Run?

Average gross rent in Sledd Run is $1,492/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Sledd Run residents are renters?

41% of Sledd Run households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Mechanicsville). The neighborhood has 8,949 residents.

Is Sledd Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Sledd Run sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Sledd Run have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sledd Run is census tract 51085321202 (score 3.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.6 to 3.3, a spread of 1.7 points.

How safe is Sledd Run for landlords?

Sledd Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mechanicsville as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Sledd Run?

Sledd Run has 9,043 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.9%), Other / Multiracial (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mechanicsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sledd Run.

2.6 Hanover Grove 1 tracts · pop 3,609 1.7 Sharon Park 1 tracts · pop 2,767 1.7 Cherrydale 1 tracts · pop 2,747 1.5 Gaines Mill 1 tracts · pop 6,734 1.3 Avondale 1 tracts · pop 6,385 1.3 Pine Hill 1 tracts · pop 4,680

Zoom out