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Neighborhood · Mechanicsville, VA

Sledd Run Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,949 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 3.8–5.4

Sledd Run spans 2 census tracts of Mechanicsville, VA and houses 8,949 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.6/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 47% against 29.6% citywide, putting Sledd Run 17.2% over its own city.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.8 to 5.4, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running cool is economic stress, at 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,492, 13% below the Mechanicsville average of $1,724. That places it #2 of 7 neighborhoods in Mechanicsville.

For a like-for-like read, Hanover Grove and Sharon Park score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $86,436.

41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Sledd Run vs Mechanicsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.8% +58%
Mechanicsville: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$1,492 -13%
Mechanicsville: $1,724
Average HH income
$86,436 -11%
Mechanicsville: $97,569
Poverty rate
9.3% +74%
Mechanicsville: 5.4%
Renter share
41.3% +69%
Mechanicsville: 24.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sledd Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.8–5.4

Why Sledd Run scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
47% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
9.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–4.4 across tracts
3.8
Risk score comparison

Sledd Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sledd Run score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6Sledd RunNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Sledd Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51085321202 5.4 4,364 61% $1,378
51085321201 3.8 4,585 33% $1,601
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 36

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 34%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 34%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 39%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sledd Run

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sledd Run

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sledd Run?

Sledd Run scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Sledd Run compare to Mechanicsville overall?

Sledd Run scores 0.6 points higher than Mechanicsville overall (4/10). Renters spend 47% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,492 vs $1,724.
Q3

What is the average rent in Sledd Run?

Average gross rent in Sledd Run is $1,492/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Sledd Run residents are renters?

41% of Sledd Run households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Mechanicsville). The neighborhood has 8,949 residents.
Q5

Is Sledd Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Sledd Run sits in the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Sledd Run have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sledd Run is census tract 51085321202 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 5.4, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Sledd Run for landlords?

Sledd Run carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mechanicsville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Sledd Run?

Sledd Run has 9,043 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.9%), Other / Multiracial (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mechanicsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sledd Run.

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