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Neighborhood · Mechanicsville, VA

Hanover Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,609 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.6/10 · range 2.6–2.6

Hanover Grove is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Mechanicsville with 1 census tract and a population of 3,609 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 44% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,787/month sits 4% higher than the Mechanicsville citywide average ($1,724).

Risk score
2.6
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Hanover Grove vs Mechanicsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.9% +119%
Mechanicsville: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$1,787 +4%
Mechanicsville: $1,724
Average HH income
$78,950 -19%
Mechanicsville: $97,569
Poverty rate
10.0% +87%
Mechanicsville: 5.4%
Renter share
41.7% +70%
Mechanicsville: 24.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hanover Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.6–2.6

Why Hanover Grove scores 2.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
10.0% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Hanover Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Hanover Grove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Hanover Grove: 2.62.6Hanover GroveNeighborhoodParent city: 3.53.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Hanover Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51085321001 2.6 3,609 65% $1,787
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 18%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hanover Grove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Hanover Grove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hanover Grove?

Hanover Grove scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Hanover Grove compare to Mechanicsville overall?

Hanover Grove scores 0.9 points lower than Mechanicsville overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,787 vs $1,724.
Q3

What is the average rent in Hanover Grove?

Average gross rent in Hanover Grove is $1,787/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Hanover Grove residents are renters?

42% of Hanover Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Mechanicsville). The neighborhood has 3,609 residents.
Q5

Is Hanover Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Hanover Grove sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Hanover Grove for landlords?

Hanover Grove carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mechanicsville as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Hanover Grove?

Hanover Grove has 3,635 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (88.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.3%), Other / Multiracial (1.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hanover Grove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mechanicsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hanover Grove.

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