Skip to content
Neighborhood · Mechanicsville, VA

Hanover Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,609 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Hanover Grove maps to a single census tract in Mechanicsville, VA, population 3,609. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 44%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Mechanicsville rate of 29.6%. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.5/10. That places it #1 of 7 neighborhoods in Mechanicsville. For a like-for-like read, Sledd Run and Sharon Park score within a fraction of it.

Average gross rent runs $1,787, close to the Mechanicsville average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $78,950. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Hanover Grove vs Mechanicsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
64.9% +119%
Mechanicsville: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$1,787 +4%
Mechanicsville: $1,724
Average HH income
$78,950 -19%
Mechanicsville: $97,569
Poverty rate
10.0% +87%
Mechanicsville: 5.4%
Renter share
41.7% +70%
Mechanicsville: 24.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hanover Grove and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Hanover Grove scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts
5.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
10.0% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Risk score comparison

Hanover Grove vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Hanover Grove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Hanover GroveNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Hanover Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51085321001 5.2 3,609 65% $1,787
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 18%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hanover Grove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Hanover Grove

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hanover Grove?

Hanover Grove scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Hanover Grove compare to Mechanicsville overall?

Hanover Grove scores 1.2 points higher than Mechanicsville overall (4/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,787 vs $1,724.
Q3

What is the average rent in Hanover Grove?

Average gross rent in Hanover Grove is $1,787/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Hanover Grove residents are renters?

42% of Hanover Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 24% in Mechanicsville). The neighborhood has 3,609 residents.
Q5

Is Hanover Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Hanover Grove sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Hanover Grove for landlords?

Hanover Grove carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Mechanicsville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Hanover Grove?

Hanover Grove has 3,635 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (88.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.3%), Other / Multiracial (1.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hanover Grove

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Mechanicsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hanover Grove.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further